BTC Daily Maker

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the BTC Daily market (KXBTCD) on Kalshi, evaluating every 60 seconds. When holding no position, a spread of at least 2 cents, and over a minute to expiry, it simultaneously places resting buy orders for both YES and NO at the current best bid price, each sized at $25. If the spread falls below 2 cents or less than a minute remains, orders are cancelled; a $25 unrealized loss triggers an immediate full exit.

Kalshi·May 14 to Jun 11·Created 8d ago

Net P&L

+$24

Return +48.8% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.18

Return Sharpe

Win rate

50.0%

10 trades

Max drawdown

-$8

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.

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