Updates, tutorials, and stories from the Turbine team.
Hackers stole $713M from crypto wallets in 2025. Here's how to secure your prediction market bot's API keys, wallet approvals, and funds.
Prediction markets, options, and sportsbooks all bet on outcomes — but sportsbooks keep ~9% while Kalshi takes ~1.2%. A trader's 2026 instrument comparison.
Businesses already transfer $192B in crop risk and $61B via catastrophe bonds. Here's how to hedge elections, Fed decisions, and weather on prediction markets.
On Kalshi, ~95% of liquidity comes from 2,000+ small market makers — some just individuals. Here's how to quote two-sided liquidity and earn the spread in 2026.
Full Kelly has a 50% chance of halving your bankroll. Here's the sizing and risk math that keeps prediction-market traders solvent — with Kalshi numbers.
In Oct 2025, visible BTC liquidity collapsed 99.8% and spreads widened 1,321x in 40 minutes. Here's why bots die in volatility, and the vol-adjusted sizing math that survives it.
Only 3% of alerts need immediate action. Here's how to wire prediction market bots with kill switches, anomaly alerts, and auto-reconnect to run unattended.
BTC and ETH are highly correlated, but a 30-day spot-candle study did not find a clean one-candle BTC-leads-ETH signal. The better test is whether prediction markets reprice slower than spot.
Bots extracted $40M from Polymarket arbitrage in 12 months while the average arb window collapsed to 2.7 seconds. Here's the latency stack — and what retail can still win.
We tested 500 Kalshi New York temperature strategies using National Weather Service data. Most failed, but the winners had a clear pattern: weather worked best as confirmation, not contradiction.
AI agents run 30%+ of Polymarket wallets and 14 of the top 20 most profitable accounts. Here's the build-or-defend playbook for retail in 2026.
Backtest Sharpe of 2.0 typically drops to 1.0-1.5 live. Here's how to paper trade Kalshi and Polymarket strategies on live data — without risking real money.
Learn how backtesting prediction market strategies works using order books, fees, slippage assumptions, fill models, and risk review before automation.
Compare the best Kalshi trading bots in 2026, including TurbineFi, custom Kalshi API scripts, backtesting workflows, alerts, and research tools.
A practical guide to the best Polymarket trading bots in 2026, with a focus on strategy design, testing, execution control, and risk management.
Compare the best prediction market bot platforms in 2026 for strategy creation, backtesting, automation, risk controls, and Kalshi or Polymarket support.
Learn how to build a Kalshi trading bot without coding by describing a strategy, backtesting it, reviewing risk, and connecting automation.
Learn how to build a Polymarket trading bot without coding using plain-English rules, backtesting, risk checks, and monitored automation.
Compare copy trading vs custom strategy bots for prediction markets, including control, transparency, risk, and backtesting considerations.
Compare Kalshi vs Polymarket automation across APIs, fees, fills, liquidity, settlement, and strategy design considerations.
Learn why paper trading prediction market bots before going live can help validate rules, monitor behavior, and reduce automation risk.
Explore prediction market arbitrage tools for Kalshi, Polymarket, and cross-venue execution, including backtesting, fees, fills, and risk controls.
Kalshi did $23.8B in 2025, Polymarket logged 95M on-chain trades. Here's every free + paid source for historical data, what each costs, and which gives you backtestable depth.
Renaissance Medallion returned 30% in 2024. 84% of Polymarket traders haven't profited. Here's the systematic playbook to bridge that gap — signal to deployment, in 5 steps.
A security-first comparison of TurbineFi, PredictEngine, Reflex, and PolyBot for traders choosing prediction market bot infrastructure.
69% of Polymarket users trade under $1K. Here's which bots actually make sense for that — free open-source SDKs, $20/mo starter tools, and the breakeven math for each.
Strategy returns drop 26% out-of-sample and 58% after publication. Here's why your prediction market bot fails live, and the 5-step playbook to defend against overfitting.
Bots trade 89 times a day vs 2.2 for humans. 0.1% of Polymarket accounts captured 67% of profits. Here's why retail loses on prediction markets, and what to do.
100 Kalshi BTC 15-minute strategies, each using Coinbase BTC-USD as an external signal. In this 30-day backtest, momentum beat reversion and 78 strategies made money.
A 5-minute walkthrough of creating a Kalshi account, verifying your identity, and funding it. Everything you need before deploying your first Turbine bot.
Cross-platform automation across Kalshi and Polymarket: dashboards, alerts, custom bots, and AI-powered execution platforms compared.
Cross-market prediction trading platforms compared: TurbineFi, direct APIs, OctoBot, and copy trading for traders running strategies on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Yes — backtesting bots for Kalshi and Polymarket exist. Here's what to look for in fill simulation, fee modeling, event normalization, and deployment.
Cross-platform arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket: how to automate hedged trades inside the 2.7-second window manual traders can't catch.
Kalshi launched crypto perpetual futures April 27. Here's how 15-minute crypto contracts work, why bots dominate them, and how they compare to Binance and CME.
4,904 strategies, 41.8 million simulated trades, 30 days of Kalshi BTC 15-minute markets. Only 102 strategies made money, and the archetype that topped last week's leaderboard is now the worst performer in the lab.
The Federal Reserve published research saying Kalshi's macro forecasts beat traditional methods. Here's how to trade CPI, Fed, and jobs report contracts.
A complete guide to building a Kalshi trading bot in 2026: the Python and API approach, the AI-powered no-code approach with Turbine, and everything in between.
We generated 1,000 trading strategies and backtested every one against 30 days of Kalshi's 15-minute BTC markets. Here's what won, what lost, and the patterns behind both.
84% of prediction market traders lose money. Backtesting can change that. Learn where to get historical data, avoid common pitfalls, and validate strategies on Kalshi.
A walk through every data field Turbine Studio can condition a strategy on. Live price feeds, weather observations, and derived indicators across two providers.
The five families every prediction-market strategy falls into. What each assumes, when each wins, when each breaks, and how to tell which one your idea is.
Sports contracts drive 89% of Kalshi's revenue. Learn what's available, how they differ from sportsbooks, and what real trader returns look like in 2026.
Arbitrage bots extracted $40M from prediction markets in one year. Learn the 3 arb strategies they use on Kalshi and Polymarket, with real performance data.
What it actually looks like to build a prediction market trading bot with natural language — no coding experience required.
An AI agent reportedly turned $1 into $3.3M on Polymarket. Over 30% of wallets now use bots. Here's what's happening and how to build your own.
Prediction markets reward fast information processing, emotional discipline, and 24/7 availability. Here's why AI agents have a structural edge.
Build a prediction market bot from scratch with Python or use Turbine Studio's no-code approach. An honest step-by-step comparison of both paths.
Five automatable prediction market strategies for Kalshi — from mean reversion to news-driven momentum. Describe in plain English, deploy as a bot.
A realistic guide to making money on prediction markets — edge types, strategy frameworks, risk management, and why automated trading dominates.
From the CFTC v. Kalshi ruling to new platforms launching, prediction markets are going mainstream. What the regulatory landscape means for traders.
How TurbineFi went from a hedging product to an AI-powered trading bot studio — and what we learned along the way.
A walk through the first five minutes of Turbine Studio. What the platform actually is, what your $99 buys you, and how to go from signup to a running bot.
A complete guide to Polymarket prediction bot development in 2026: Python tutorial, API setup, strategy logic, risk controls, and the no-code Turbine route.
Polymarket vs Kalshi compared: fees, markets, regulation, API access, liquidity, and which platform is better for traders and bots in 2026.
Prediction markets let you trade on real-world events like elections, weather, and economic data. Learn how they work and how to start trading.