Backtested strategies

It trades the KXBTC15M market, checking every ten seconds whether to enter. It buys yes or no contracts of size 500 when Bitcoin momentum and price conditions align, and exits by tiered profit/loss thresholds relative to position size, up to a 2001 position limit.

This strategy trades a 15-minute Bitcoin contract on Kalshi, checking conditions every 10 seconds. It buys YES or NO contracts when Bitcoin’s price, momentum, and the contract’s price and spread meet specific rules, using a fixed size of 250 contracts. Positions are automatically sold when unrealized profit or loss hits tiered thresholds based on position size, and no position exceeds a $500 maximum.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-min Bitcoin market KXBTC15M every 10 seconds. It buys $250 yes or no contracts when BTC momentum, price vs. VWAP/EMA, or near-expiry conditions provide a signal, provided the contract price is within acceptable bounds and the spread is tight. It limits total risk to $500, exits all on a $500 unrealized loss, and uses separate profit and loss targets based on current position size.

The strategy trades the KXBTC15M market, evaluating every 10 seconds. It enters yes or no contracts with 250-size orders when Bitcoin price and momentum conditions align, typically near mid-range prices and tight spreads. It exits using tiered profit and loss thresholds based on current position size, with a maximum total position of 500 contracts.

Trades the KXETH15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 seconds. It enters buy-yes or buy-no positions of 50 contracts when Ethereum price and momentum signals align with VWAP, moving averages, and tight spreads, also considering time remaining. It exits entirely at tiered take-profit or stop-loss levels based on position size, and limits total position to 100 contracts.

The strategy trades the KXETH15M Ethereum market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 seconds with Coinbase ETH price data. It enters yes or no positions of 50 contracts at a time, capped at 100 total, when conditions like price relative to VWAP, momentum, and spread align within certain contract price ranges, and it skips if price exceeds $0.92. It exits all positions when unrealized profit reaches $5, $8, or $15 or loss hits $12, $20, or $40, depending on position size.

It trades the KXETH15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 seconds. It buys YES when ETH's price is above its hourly VWAP and with positive short-term momentum, and NO when below; near expiry, it uses tighter price extremes. Exits are triggered by tiered unrealized gain/loss levels depending on position size, and the strategy never holds more than 70 contracts.

This strategy trades KXETH15M on Kalshi every 10 seconds. It buys Yes or No contracts using 35-contract orders when ETH price trends align with a contract price between 35 and 65 cents and a tight spread. The total position is limited to 100 contracts, and it exits entirely based on tiered profit and loss thresholds tied to position size.

This strategy trades the Kalshi market KXXRP15M every 10 seconds. It buys yes or no contracts in blocks of 5 when live XRP price data triggers momentum signals, price is within allowed bands, and the bid-ask spread is tight. It sells all positions when unrealized gains or losses hit tiered dollar thresholds based on the number of contracts held, and stops trading if total positions exceed 20 contracts.

This strategy trades the Kalshi XRP 15-minute market, checking every 10 seconds. It enters by fading extreme prices: buying Yes when the market price is $0.90 or higher with under 210 seconds to expiry, or buying No when price is $0.10 or lower with under 210 seconds, but only if no position is held, with a trade size of 100. All positions are closed if only 30 seconds remain or if a $5.00 loss is reached, and position size is capped at 100.

This strategy trades the KXXRP15M market, checking every 10 seconds. It buys a No contract if price is under 0.15 with less than 7 minutes left and no position, or a Yes contract if price is over 0.85 under the same conditions. It sells everything if price drops below 0.001. Position size is limited to 1 contract.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXXRP15M event contract. Every 10 seconds, it enters by buying one 'No' share if the price is under 0.15 and less than 7 minutes remain, or buying one 'Yes' share if the price is over 0.85 and less than 7 minutes remain, provided no position is held. It exits all if the price falls below 0.001. Position size never exceeds 1 contract.

This strategy checks the KXSOL15M market every 10 seconds, entering by buying 4 'yes' contracts when SOL-USD has a 5-minute change above 0.002 and the market price is between $0.20 and $0.75, or 4 'no' contracts when the change is below -0.002 and price is between $0.25 and $0.80. It fully exits when profit reaches $2.50, loss hits $3.50, price exceeds $0.82, or expiry is within two minutes, while never exceeding 12 total contracts.

This strategy trades Kalshi’s 15-minute SOL crypto binary market. Every 10 seconds it checks conditions: it buys 10 YES contracts when the price is between 95 and 98 cents and the event has between 15 seconds and 3 minutes left. It exits all contracts if the loss reaches $1 or when only 15 seconds remain.

This strategy trades the KXSOL15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 minutes. It buys 5 No contracts when the price falls below 15 cents, and buys 5 Yes contracts when the price rises above 85 cents, but only if there are more than 2 minutes until expiry. It sells all positions if the price crosses 50 cents, or if unrealized profit exceeds $2 or loss exceeds $3. The total position is limited to 10 contracts.

This strategy trades the KXSOL15M market every ten minutes. It buys 5 "no" contracts when the price is below 20 cents and expiry is less than 5 minutes, or 5 "yes" when above 80 cents with the same time, only while total position is under 10. It sells all if the price ever drops below one cent, and position is capped at 10 contracts.

This strategy trades the Kalshi Bitcoin daily market. Every 60 seconds, if it has no position, the spread is at least 2 cents, and expiry is more than 1 minute away, it places two 25-contract post-only buy orders for YES and NO at the best bid. It cancels all orders if the spread narrows below 2 cents or time to expiry falls to 1 minute or less. A 25-dollar loss on the position triggers selling everything. Position size per side is limited to 25 contracts.

It monitors the Kalshi Bitcoin daily market every minute. While flat, if the spread is wide enough, there's more than a minute to expiry, and the price is between 5 and 95 cents, it posts limit bids for 25 yes and 25 no contracts at the best bid. It sells everything if its loss reaches $25, and cancels orders when conditions sour. Position limit is 50 contracts.

This strategy trades the Kalshi hourly Bitcoin market (KXBTCD). It checks every 60 seconds. It buys YES if Bitcoin has risen at least 0.15% over 15 minutes and is positive over 5 minutes, with ask price between 50 and 60 cents; it buys NO if Bitcoin has fallen similarly, with symmetrical aggressive thresholds at higher prices. It exits with a 45-cent profit or a 60-cent loss, and position size is always 2 contracts.

This Kalshi KXBTC strategy evaluates every 30 seconds. It buys a single YES contract when Bitcoin’s 5-minute change is negative, price is above 1-hour VWAP, and a 50-period SMA is above a 12-period EMA, and buys NO opposite, with contracts between 40¢–60¢ and spread ≤2¢. Exits occur on trend flip, $10 loss, $3 gain, under 5 minutes to expiry, or 15-minute blackout around economic events.

This strategy trades Polymarket's recurring 5-minute BTC up/down market. Every 15 seconds, if the probability falls to 0.42 or below, it buys shares expecting a rise back to 0.50; if it climbs to 0.58 or above, it sells shares short expecting a drop back to 0.50. Positions are closed at 0.50, limited to a maximum of 30 units, with a 120-second cooldown between trades.

This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, checking every 30 seconds using Chicago temperature data. It buys "no" contracts when the price is above 40¢ or 50¢ and the current and forecasted highs are below 85°F or 83-84°F, respectively, with a maximum total position of 20 contracts and individual orders of 2 or 3 contracts. It exits all positions if the price drops below 30¢, the temperature reaches 85°F, a $10 loss is reached, or within 30 minutes of expiry.

This strategy trades the Kalshi Chicago high temperature market (KXHIGHCHI). Every 60 seconds it checks; if the NO price is under $0.10 and expiration is 12–16 hours away, it buys 50 NO contracts, provided price is between $0.05 and $0.95 and total positions don't exceed 4 markets. It exits completely when less than one minute remains until settlement.

This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi every 15 minutes. It enters a yes bet when Chicago’s temperature is near the forecast high, the 3‑hour trend is not falling, wind is calm, and price is ≤ 0.70; it enters a no bet when temperature trails the forecast high by 7°F or more, the trend is not rising, and price is ≥ 0.30. Each entry uses 3 contracts, with a total position cap of 5. The strategy exits all positions if profit reaches $4, loss reaches $5, or expiry falls within 30 minutes.

This strategy trades the recurring 15-minute Bitcoin up/down market on Polymarket. It checks every 30 seconds and buys when the price is between 46 and 54 cents, aiming to exit at exactly 50 cents. After an exit, it pauses for two market intervals. It limits the position to 20 USDC and only trades while the price remains between 25 and 75 cents.

This strategy trades the hourly BTC Up/Down pool on Polymarket. It checks prices every 15 minutes, and enters a position whenever the current price is below 0.42 or above 0.58, betting that it will revert to 0.50. It exits the position when the price reaches 0.50. No more than 3 contracts can be held at once, and a 120-second cooldown prevents new entries right after a trade.

This strategy trades Kalshi's NYC high temperature market, evaluating every minute. It enters when the NWS forecast for LaGuardia exceeds 77°F, price is below 42¢, and spread is tight, buying 6 contracts at a time up to a 12-contract cap. It exits all positions if the forecast dips below 73°F, price rises above 60¢, time to expiry falls under one hour, or unrealized loss exceeds $15.

This strategy trades the Kalshi market KXHIGHNY, evaluating every 30 minutes using weather data from LaGuardia airport. It buys Yes if the temperature is close to the forecast high and rising with light wind, or buys No if the temperature is far below the forecast and falling; it sells all when profit reaches $4, loss reaches -$5, or 30 minutes before expiry. Positions are limited to 3 contracts per signal and 10 total.

This strategy trades the KXHIGHNY prediction market, evaluating conditions every 30 seconds. It buys a single Yes contract whenever the current price is between $0.50 and $0.90 and it holds no position. It closes the entire position by selling all contracts when less than one minute remains until the market expires, and it never holds more than 5 contracts total.

This strategy trades the KXHIGHNY market on Kalshi. Every 30 seconds, it buys ‘No’ positions based on LaGuardia weather: if price > 0.4 and both current and forecast highs ≤72°F, it buys 2 contracts; if price > 0.5 and both ≤70°/71°F, it buys 3 contracts, up to a 5-contract max. It exits all if price < 0.3, current temp ≥72°F, loss reaches $10, or expiry within 30 minutes.

This strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market, checking every 45 seconds. It buys "yes" contracts when Miami’s temperature near the forecast high, rising three-hour trend, and high humidity and dew point persist, with recent data and sufficient time until expiry, using smaller positions for weaker signals and larger ones for stronger signals. It exits entirely if unrealized profit hits $4, loss reaches -$6, the weather observation grows older than two hours, or settlement is within 30 minutes, never holding more than 5 contracts in total.

Every 10 seconds, it checks the KXDOGE15M market. If fewer than 7 minutes remain and no position exists, it buys a No contract when the price is under 0.15, or a Yes contract when over 0.85. It sells everything if the price drops below 0.001, and never holds more than one contract.

This strategy trades the KXDOGE15M market on Kalshi, checking every 10 seconds. It buys a No position if the price drops below 15 cents and no position is held, or buys a Yes position if the price rises above 85 cents and no position is held. It sells all contracts only if the price falls below 1 cent, and never holds more than one contract at a time.

This strategy trades the Kalshi market KXDOGE15M, checking conditions every 10 seconds. It enters a position only within five minutes of expiry and when the price is extreme—buying a 'no' contract if the price is below 0.15, or a 'yes' contract if above 0.85—with a maximum position of one contract. It exits the entire position if the price moves against it (below 0.25 for a 'yes' or above 0.75 for a 'no') or if the price ever falls under 0.001.

This strategy trades the KXDOGE15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 minutes. If the price is below 15 cents and no position is held, it buys a No share; if the price is above 85 cents and no position is held, it buys a Yes share. It exits entirely as soon as the price crosses above or below 50 cents, and holds at most one contract at a time.

This strategy trades the KXHIGHLAX market on Kalshi, checking every minute. It buys yes if current temperature exceeds the forecast high or is rising close to it with a tight spread, and buys no if it’s well below forecast, each up to 4 contracts per signal. The total position is capped at 8, and all positions are sold when less than 30 minutes remain or if the loss reaches $8.

The strategy trades the KXBNB15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 minutes. It buys 5 no contracts when price is under 20¢ and time left is less than 5 minutes, as long as total position is below 10 contracts; it buys 5 yes contracts when price is over 80¢ under the same conditions. A fallback exit sells everything if price ever drops below 0.1¢.

This strategy trades the KXMLBTOTAL market on Kalshi, evaluating every 30 minutes. It buys 3 'Yes' contracts when the price is below 85 cents and more than 150 minutes remain, then sells everything if the price reaches 95 cents, falls to 80 cents, or time drops under 120 minutes. Total position is capped at 15 contracts, and it only trades while the price stays between 5 and 95 cents.