Backtested strategies

It trades the KXBTC15M market, checking every ten seconds whether to enter. It buys yes or no contracts of size 500 when Bitcoin momentum and price conditions align, and exits by tiered profit/loss thresholds relative to position size, up to a 2001 position limit.

This strategy trades the Kalshi 15-minute Bitcoin price market, checking every 10 minutes. It buys 'yes' or 'no' contracts with a fixed size of $250 when BTC price conditions align with moving averages, momentum, and time to expiry, but only while total position is below 500. Exits are triggered by unrealized profit or loss thresholds that scale with position size.

This strategy trades 15-minute Bitcoin price events on Kalshi, evaluating conditions every 10 seconds. It enters by buying 'yes' or 'no' contracts with a fixed size of 250 when Bitcoin momentum, price relative to indicators, and time remaining (under 7 minutes) meet specific criteria, and exits all positions based on tiered unrealized profit or loss thresholds, with a maximum total position of 500 contracts.

The strategy trades KXBTC15M every 10 seconds using Bitcoin price data. It enters with 200 contracts only when flat and within 5 minutes of expiry, based on Bitcoin momentum and contract price range, buying YES or NO. Exits use tiered take-profit/stop-loss rules dependent on unrealized PnL, position size, and contract price; a skip rule prevents trading if the position exceeds 201 contracts.

Trades the KXETH15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every 10 seconds. It enters buy-yes or buy-no positions of 50 contracts when Ethereum price and momentum signals align with VWAP, moving averages, and tight spreads, also considering time remaining. It exits entirely at tiered take-profit or stop-loss levels based on position size, and limits total position to 100 contracts.

This strategy trades KXETH15M on Kalshi every 10 seconds. It buys Yes or No contracts using 35-contract orders when ETH price trends align with a contract price between 35 and 65 cents and a tight spread. The total position is limited to 100 contracts, and it exits entirely based on tiered profit and loss thresholds tied to position size.

On Kalshi ETH 15-minute markets it checks every 10 seconds. It buys 15 contracts of yes or no when ETH price, momentum, price range and spread conditions align, and sells all when profit targets, loss limits, or a 0.98 price trigger hit. Position caps at 45.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute ETH markets, checking every 10 seconds against live Coinbase ETH data, and allows at most 30 contracts. It buys 15 contracts of YES or NO when ETH price, momentum, and short-term trend line up and the spread is tight, while cancelling all orders if price exceeds 0.92. It sells everything on tiered profit targets (above 5, 8, or 15 depending on position size) or tiered losses (below 12, 20, or 40 depending on position size).

This strategy trades the KXBTC market on Kalshi. Every 30 seconds, it places up to three buy and three sell limit orders that are at least $0.05 apart, only posting liquidity. It avoids trading below $0.05 or above $0.95 and limits its net position to 50 contracts.

It monitors the Kalshi Bitcoin daily market every minute. While flat, if the spread is wide enough, there's more than a minute to expiry, and the price is between 5 and 95 cents, it posts limit bids for 25 yes and 25 no contracts at the best bid. It sells everything if its loss reaches $25, and cancels orders when conditions sour. Position limit is 50 contracts.

This strategy trades the most liquid daily Bitcoin bracket market on Kalshi, checking prices every 10 seconds. When flat and at least 60 seconds have passed since the last entry, it buys YES if the YES price is above 0.05 and at or below 0.15, or buys NO if the YES price is at or above 0.85 and below 0.95, with no entry in between. With a position, it exits once the YES price comes within 0.02 of 0.50, and it holds at most 10 contracts.

On Kalshi's BTC hourly market it checks every 30 seconds, capped at 1 contract with YES prices allowed between 0.05 and 0.97. First, if unrealized loss is at or below -0.12 it sells everything; otherwise, if the YES best ask is above 0.90 and no position is held, it places a post-only buy for 1 contract at the best bid.

This strategy trades 15-minute XRP markets on Kalshi, checking conditions every 10 seconds. It sells any existing YES position if the best bid falls to 0.25 or below, and buys 15 YES contracts if expiry is within 5 minutes, the best ask is at least 0.70, and the Coinbase XRP price is above its 12-period one-minute EMA while holding none. Positions are capped at 15 contracts, with one entry per market and prices limited to 0.05–0.95.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute XRP market and checks conditions every 10 seconds, with positions capped at 15 contracts and YES prices limited to 0.05 through 0.95. It first sells any existing NO position if the NO bid falls to 0.25 or below, then otherwise buys 15 NO contracts when five minutes or less remain, the NO ask is at least 0.70, Coinbase XRP's price is below its 12-period one-minute EMA, and no position is currently held. Only one entry per market is allowed.

This strategy trades 15-minute XRP markets on Kalshi, checking every 10 seconds. It buys 50 contracts of YES when XRP is rising across four timeframes and the YES price sits between 0.84 and 0.97 with a tight spread, or of NO when XRP is falling across those timeframes; later rules buy either side when the odds reach 0.91 to 0.99 within 35 seconds of expiry. It exits by selling on a price drop to 0.75 or below, a loss of 25 dollars, a price of 0.99 or better with over 30 seconds left, or by cancelling everything at expiry, with positions capped at 50 contracts.

On Kalshi's XRP 15-minute market, checked every 10 seconds, it buys 100 YES contracts when the price is 0.90-0.97 with a tight spread and XRP is rising across four timeframes, or 100 NO when the mirror conditions hold and XRP is falling. It sells positions on price, bid, profit, or loss thresholds, and cancels all orders at expiry.

This Kalshi strategy trades the 15-minute SOL market, checking every 10 seconds. It buys 20 NO contracts when there are 5 minutes or less to expiry, the NO ask is at least 0.70, and Coinbase SOL price is below its 12-period one-minute EMA, but only if it holds no NO position yet, and sells the entire NO position if the NO bid falls to 0.25 or lower. Position size is capped at 20 contracts, with at most one entry per market.

On Kalshi's 15-minute SOL market, this strategy checks every 10 seconds and buys 50 contracts at most. It enters YES when momentum across several lookbacks is positive and price sits between 0.84 and 0.97 with a tight spread inside the last 50 seconds, or buys YES/NO in the final 30 seconds when the bid is 0.91 to 0.99. It exits on price or bid crossing 0.50, a 25-dollar unrealized loss, a 0.99/0.01 profit level, or cancels everything at expiry.

This trades Kalshi's 15-minute Solana markets, checking every 10 seconds with SOL, BTC, and ETH price data. It buys only when no position is open, the market expires within 5 minutes, and momentum signals agree, paying 30 contracts on strong signals or 5 contracts on late price extremes. It exits by selling everything once unrealized profit or loss crosses thresholds that scale with position size, capped at 30 contracts.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute SOL market, checking every 10 seconds with a 50-contract position cap and a 0.14 to 0.68 price band. It exits everything if unrealized loss hits -7.5 or if 5 seconds or less remain before expiry. Otherwise, within the final 5 minutes, if price sits between 0.45 and 0.55, it buys 16 YES contracts when SOL's 5-minute change and 1-minute velocity plus BTC's 1-minute velocity are all positive, and 16 NO contracts when all three are negative.

This strategy runs on the Kalshi market for MLB games (ticker KXMLBGAME), checking every 10 seconds. It places up to three post-only limit orders on each side when the bid-ask spread is at least 2 cents, aiming to capture that difference. The total position is kept under $20, and it only trades contracts priced between 5 and 95 cents.

On Kalshi's 15-minute DOGE market, this strategy checks every 10 seconds and follows two rules in order. It sells any existing NO position if the NO best bid falls to 0.25 or below, and otherwise buys 15 NO contracts when the market is within 5 minutes of expiry, the NO best ask is at least 0.70, Coinbase DOGE price is below its 12-period one-minute EMA, and no position is held. Positions are capped at 15 contracts with at most one entry per market.

On Kalshi's 15-minute DOGE market, this strategy checks every 10 seconds. It buys 30 contracts of YES or NO in the final 35 seconds before expiry when the ask sits between 0.91 and 0.99 and the spread is 0.03 or less, sells any open position once that side's best bid falls to 0.55 or below, and cancels all orders at expiry.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute DOGE markets, checking every 10 seconds with a position limit of 3 contracts. It buys 3 YES contracts when the price sits between 0.84 and 0.97 with a tight spread and DOGE is rising across all timeframes, or 3 NO contracts when the mirrored conditions hold and DOGE is falling, only within the final 30 to 210 seconds before expiry. It exits on stops or targets tied to price, best bid, or unrealized loss of 10, and cancels all orders at expiry.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXDOGE15M market and checks conditions every 10 seconds. It sells an existing YES or NO position if that side's best bid falls to 0.55 or below. Otherwise, when flat with 30 seconds or less to expiry, a spread of 0.03 or less, and a YES or NO ask between 0.91 and 0.99, it buys 5 contracts of that side, capped at a 5-contract position.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXHIGHNY NYC high temperature market every 60 seconds using NWS LaGuardia data. It buys yes in size 5 when current temp is above 71F, the observation is under 90 minutes old, and price is below 50 cents. It sells all when next-hour temp is above 72F and price is above 66 cents, when fewer than 45 minutes remain, or when unrealized loss exceeds $20. Max position 30.

On Kalshi's NYC high-temperature market, this checks every 60 seconds. It buys 4 YES contracts when price is under 0.45, the forecast high is above 69, and the gap to forecast is above -5.5; buys 4 NO when price is over 0.69 and the gap is below -5.5, both with spread under 0.1. It sells everything at 60 minutes to expiry, or sooner at 8 profit or 16 loss, capped at 30 contracts.

On Kalshi's KXHIGHNY market, every 60 seconds it checks NWS LaGuardia forecasts. It buys YES contracts in lots of 6 when the forecast high is above 77°F, price is below 0.42, and spread is below 0.08. It sells all when price exceeds 0.60, the forecast high drops below 73°F, under 30 minutes remain, or unrealized loss passes -25. Position cap is 30 contracts, and trades only between 0.10 and 0.90.

This strategy trades Kalshi New York daily high temperature markets, checking conditions every 30 seconds. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current temperature is at least 78F, is within 2 degrees of the forecast high, and the price sits between 0.10 and 0.95. It sells everything if the position has lost more than 20 dollars, the forecast gap drops below -3 degrees, or an hour remains before expiry; positions are capped at 30 contracts and four entries per market.

This strategy trades the Kalshi market on whether LAX’s high temperature reaches a certain threshold. Every 60 seconds, if it has no position, the price is between 0.15 and 0.85, time to expiry exceeds 2 hours, and the bid-ask spread is at least 0.07, it submits post-only buy orders for both yes and no outcomes, each for 25 contracts at the current best bid. If the spread narrows, time runs low, or the price moves outside the 0.15–0.85 range, it cancels outstanding orders, and if unrealized losses reach $25, it immediately sells all holdings.

This strategy trades Kalshi high-temperature markets for Los Angeles, checking conditions every 60 seconds with a 100-contract position limit. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, the price sits between 0.25 and 0.60, and it holds no position; it sells everything if the prior hour's temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss drops below 3.

On Kalshi's LA high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and can hold up to 100 contracts. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, the observation is under 900 seconds old, the price is between 0.25 and 0.60, and no position is held. It sells everything if the prior-hour temperature is above 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if the open loss exceeds 3.

This strategy trades Kalshi's Los Angeles high-temperature market, checking conditions every 60 seconds. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, the reading is less than 15 minutes old, the price sits between 0.25 and 0.50, the spread is at most 0.08, and no position is open. It exits by selling everything if the next-hour temperature forecast tops 72 with price above 0.66, if less than 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss exceeds 3, with total holdings capped at 100 contracts.

This trades 15-minute Kalshi HYPE markets and checks conditions every 10 seconds. It enters by buying 30 contracts of YES (rule 3) or NO (rule 4) only when no position is open, 30 seconds or less remain before expiry, the spread is 0.03 or tighter, and the ask price sits between 0.91 and 0.99. It exits by selling an existing YES position when its best bid falls to 0.55 or lower (rule 1) or a NO position on the same bid condition (rule 2), and cancels all orders at expiry (rule 5).

This Kalshi strategy trades 15-minute HYPE markets and checks every 10 seconds. It will sell an existing YES position if the YES bid falls to 0.55 or below, or sell an existing NO position if the NO bid falls to 0.55 or below. Otherwise, with no open position, if expiry is within 35 seconds and the spread is 0.03 or less, it buys 5 contracts of whichever side's ask is between 0.91 and 0.99.

On Kalshi it checks every 10 seconds. It buys 3 contracts of YES or NO when 30 to 210 seconds remain, the spread is 0.03 or less, price sits between 0.84 and 0.97, and HYPE price changes stay positive or negative across all lookbacks. It exits on price, bid, or loss thresholds, or cancels at expiry.

On Kalshi, this strategy trades the KXHYPE15M market and checks conditions every 10 seconds, with a maximum position of 5 contracts. It sells an existing YES or NO position when that side's best bid is at or below 0.55. Otherwise, only when holding nothing and with 35 seconds or less to expiry, it buys 5 contracts of whichever side has a best ask between 0.91 and 0.99.

On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds. It cancels all orders if the temperature is 71F or below, data is over 15 minutes old, price is at or below 0.15 or at or above 0.5, spread under 0.02, or expiry within 45 minutes. Otherwise, with no position, it buys 40 YES contracts one cent above the best bid, capped at 100 contracts.

On Kalshi it checks every 60 seconds, buying 40 YES contracts post-only when the Chicago temp is above 71, the observation is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells out on stale data, thin spreads, low or high prices, near expiry, or a small loss. Position limit is 100 contracts.

On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys 5 YES contracts when the current temperature is above 71, the observation is under 15 minutes old, the price is between 0.25 and 0.35, and it holds no position. It sells everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain before expiry, or if unrealized loss drops below 3. Positions are capped at 100 contracts.

This strategy trades Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market and checks conditions every 60 seconds. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, the price sits between 0.25 and 0.35, more than 8 hours remain, and it holds no position; it sells everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss drops below 3. Position size is capped at 100 contracts.

On Kalshi's BNB 15-minute markets, this strategy checks every 10 seconds, capped at 30 contracts per position. It buys YES or NO only in the final 30 seconds before expiry when the spread is 0.03 or less and that side's ask sits between 0.91 and 0.99, and it sells an open side if its best bid falls to 0.55 or below. Once time to expiry reaches zero it cancels all resting orders.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute BNB markets, checking conditions every 10 seconds with a maximum of 3 contracts. It buys 3 contracts of YES when the position is flat, 30 to 210 seconds remain, the spread is 0.03 or less, the price sits between 0.84 and 0.97, and BNB's 1-hour, 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute changes are all positive; it buys NO under mirror conditions when all those changes are negative. It exits a YES or NO position when price, best bid, or unrealized loss crosses set thresholds including a 10-dollar loss, and cancels all orders at expiry.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXBNB15M market, checking conditions every 10 seconds with a maximum position of 5 contracts. It exits an open yes or no position by selling when that side's best bid drops to 0.55 or below. Otherwise, with no position open and 30 seconds or less to expiry, it buys 5 contracts of whichever side has a spread of 0.03 or less and a best ask between 0.91 and 0.99.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute BNB markets, checking every 10 seconds and capping positions at 25 contracts. It sells everything if an open position is losing more than 5 dollars with over 3 minutes left and a tight spread, or losing more than 11 dollars with over a minute left. Otherwise it skips when more than 8 minutes remain or the spread is wide, buys 25 contracts on either side when price sits in a mid-range with over 2 minutes left and BNB's short-term average and 5-minute change confirm direction, and buys 15 contracts near the price extremes in the final 1 to 2 minutes.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXNEAR15M market and checks conditions every 10 seconds, capped at 20 contracts. It buys 20 contracts of NO when there is no open position, expiry is 35 seconds or less, the spread is at most 0.03, and the NO ask is between 0.91 and 0.99, or buys 20 YES under the same conditions using the YES ask. It exits by selling YES or NO if that side's position exists and its best bid falls to 0.55 or below, and cancels all orders at expiry.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXNEAR15M series, checking every 10 seconds. It enters with a 5-contract buy on the side whose ask is between 0.91 and 0.99, only when there's no open position, under 50 seconds remain, and the spread is 0.03 or less; it exits by selling yes or no once that side's bid falls to 0.55 or below. Position size is capped at 5 contracts, with prices allowed between 0.05 and 0.99.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXNEAR15M market and checks conditions every 10 seconds. It exits an existing YES or NO position by selling when that side's best bid falls to 0.55 or below. With no position open, it buys 5 contracts of either side when expiry is within 30 seconds, the spread is 0.03 or tighter, and that side's best ask is between 0.91 and 0.99; position size is capped at 5 contracts.

This Kalshi strategy trades the KXNEAR15M series, checking conditions every 10 seconds with a maximum position of 3 contracts. It holds no position until, with 30 to 210 seconds left before expiry, the spread is at most 0.03 and the price sits between 0.84 and 0.97, while NEAR's 1-hour, 15-minute, and 5-minute changes and 1-minute velocity all point the same direction, then it buys 3 YES or 3 NO accordingly. Once holding, it sells on price, bid, or unrealized loss thresholds; at expiry it cancels everything.

This trades Kalshi's KXZEC15M market, checking conditions every 10 seconds with a maximum of 5 contracts and prices between 0.05 and 0.99. It sells an existing YES or NO position if that side's best bid falls to 0.55 or below, and it buys 5 contracts of YES or NO when there is no open position, 30 seconds or less remain, the spread is 0.03 or tighter, and the relevant ask sits between 0.91 and 0.99. Rules are checked in order and the first match ends that tick.