Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Kalshi variant 042 led the family with 54.60% ROI. The weakest completed variant
Same strategy idea, different parameter settings. Compare net P&L, Sharpe, win rate, date, range, venue, and stars before opening a specific backtest.
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1k+ variants
Range
30s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, checking every 30 seconds using Chicago temperature data. It buys "no" contracts when the price is above 40¢ or 50¢ and the current and forecasted highs are below 85°F or 83-84°F, respectively, with a maximum total position of 20 contracts and individual orders of 2 or 3 contracts. It exits all positions if the price drops below 30¢, the temperature reaches 85°F, a $10 loss is reached, or within 30 minutes of expiry.
Net P&L +$9+43.6% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
It trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 60 seconds. It sells 'yes' (buys no) when Chicago data shows a cool day relative to the forecast high and the contract price is above 40 cents, adding larger size above 50 cents. It closes all if the price falls below 30 cents, the temperature reaches 85°F, loss hits $10, or expiry is within 30 minutes. Position size is capped at 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$9+43.6% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, checking every 45 seconds. It buys "no" shares when the price is above certain thresholds and the current and forecast high temperatures from Chicago Midway are below 85°F, with fresh data. It exits all positions if the price drops below 0.30, the temperature hits 85°F, the unrealized loss reaches $10, or if less than 30 minutes remain until expiry. Positions are limited to a maximum of 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$9+43.6% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
Trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi every 15 minutes using temperature observations and forecasts from Chicago Midway Airport. It buys ‘No’ contracts when current and forecast temperatures suggest the day’s high will not exceed a threshold, with larger positions under stronger conditions, up to a total of 20 contracts. The strategy exits all positions if the contract becomes profitable, if the temperature hits 85°F, or if a $10 loss or expiration is near.
Net P&L +$9+43.6% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
On Kalshi's KXHIGHCHI market, every 15 seconds using recent Chicago weather data, it buys 'no' if the price is above 40 or 50 cents and temperatures are below 85°F. It exits all when price drops below 30 cents, temperature hits 85°F, a $10 loss is reached, or 30 minutes to expiry. Positions are limited to 20 contracts and prices between 15 and 80 cents.
Net P&L +$9+43.6% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
This strategy trades Kalshi's Chicago daily high temperature market. Every minute it checks price and Midway Airport weather. It buys 'No' when price exceeds 40 cents and both current and forecast highs are below 85°F, buying more when conditions are stricter. All contracts sell if price drops under 30 cents, temperature reaches 85°F, losses hit $10, or 30 minutes to expiry. Max position is 15 contracts.
Net P&L +$8+51.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 10 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, checking every 30 seconds. It buys "no" contracts if the current temperature in Chicago is well below the forecast high and the market price is above certain thresholds, with smaller-sized entries at a lower price and larger entries at a higher price. It exits all positions if the price drops below 0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, the loss hits $10, or the contract is within 30 minutes of expiry. Maximum total position is 10 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+53.8% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 10 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 45 seconds. It buys 'No' contracts when the price is above 40 cents and recent weather readings at Chicago Midway show current and forecasted high temperatures below 85°F, entering with 2 to 3 contracts and never exceeding 10 total. It exits all positions if the price falls under 30 cents, the temperature hits 85°F, a $10 loss is reached, or less than 30 minutes remain until expiry.
Net P&L +$5+53.8% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market every 60 seconds. It enters by buying "no" when recent Chicago temperature readings and forecasts suggest the temperature will stay below certain caps, with larger positions for stronger signals. It exits all positions if the price drops below 0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, the unrealized loss hits $10, or the event is within 30 minutes; it never holds more than $25 total.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market every 15 minutes. It buys "no" contracts in two tiers when Chicago's current temperature is well below its forecast high and the contract price is above certain thresholds, then exits all holdings if the price falls below 30 cents, the temperature reaches 85°F, an unrealized loss of $10 occurs, or less than 30 minutes remain. The total position cannot exceed 25 contracts, and entries only happen between 15 and 90 cents.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, evaluating every 30 seconds with Chicago Midway temperature data. If price is high and temps are below forecast caps, it buys No shares in sizes 2 or 3, never exceeding 25 total. It sells all when price drops under 30¢, temp hits 85°F, loss reaches $10, or 30 minutes remain.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market every 15 minutes, using Chicago weather forecasts and observations less than an hour old. It enters by buying 'no' contracts when the price is high and both current and forecast temperatures are below specific thresholds, with order sizes of 2 or 3 up to a 25-contract maximum. It exits if the price drops, the temperature reaches 85°F, a $10 loss occurs, or expiry is within 30 minutes.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
This strategy trades the Kalshi KXHIGHCHI market every 30 seconds, with a maximum position of 25 contracts. It buys 'no' shares when the contract price is above 40–50 cents and Chicago Midway reports temperatures below 84–85°F, entering 2–3 contracts at a time. It exits all positions if price drops below 30 cents, current temp hits 85°F, a $10 loss is hit, or within 30 minutes of expiry.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market every minute. It buys no when the price is above 40 cents and Chicago Midway's current temperature and forecast high are both below 85°F (stricter thresholds for larger orders). It exits entirely if the price drops below 30 cents, the actual temperature reaches 85°F, the loss exceeds $10, or the market is within 30 minutes of expiring, with a maximum total position of 25 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi every 15 minutes. It enters a "no" position when the Chicago weather observation is fresh and indicates current and forecast highs are below 85°F, increasing size if the price is higher and the temperature is even lower. It exits when the price drops below 0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, losses hit $10, or with less than 30 minutes to expiry, capping total exposure at 25 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, evaluating every minute. It enters by buying "no" contracts when the price is high and Chicago Midway's current temperature and forecast high are cool, using recent weather reports, with positions of 2 to 3 contracts. Exits trigger if the price falls below 0.3, the temperature hits 85°F, the unrealized loss reaches -$10, or less than 30 minutes remain, and total exposure is capped at 25 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, evaluating conditions every 45 seconds. It buys "no" contracts when the price is above $0.40 or $0.50 and Chicago Midway weather reports a current temperature below 85°F with a forecast high not exceeding 85°F, using recent data. All positions are sold if the price drops under $0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, the unrealized loss hits $10, or less than 30 minutes remain, while holding at most 25 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This Kalshi strategy trades Chicago high-temperature markets every minute. It buys 'No' when the price is high and both current and forecast temperatures at Chicago Midway are low and recent. It exits on a price dip, the temperature reaching 85°F, a $10 loss, or near expiry. Position sizes are 2 or 3 contracts, capped at 25 total.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
This strategy trades a Kalshi market on Chicago’s daily high temperature, checking conditions every 15 minutes. It buys ‘no’ contracts when current temperature and forecast from Midway Airport suggest the temperature will stay low, entering with 2 or 3 contracts per signal and never holding more than 25 total. The strategy exits all positions if the contract price falls below 0.30, the actual temperature reaches 85°F, an unrealized loss of $10 is hit, or 30 minutes remain before expiry.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades KXHIGHCHI every 45 seconds. It buys 'no' when Chicago's current temp is below forecast high and price >0.4 (size 2) or >0.5 (size 3), up to 25 contracts total. Exits if price <0.3, temp ≥85°F, loss ≥$10, or <30 min to expiry.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
This Kalshi strategy checks KXHIGHCHI every 15 seconds using Chicago weather. It buys 'no' when price >$0.40 and both current temp and forecast high are below 85°F, adding more if price >$0.50 and temp <83°F. Exits: price <$0.30, temp ≥85°F, loss ≥$10, or ≤30 min to expiry. Max 25 contracts, only trades between $0.15–$0.75.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
It trades the Kalshi KXHIGHCHI market every 45 seconds. It buys "no" shares when the price is above $0.40 and Chicago's current and forecast high temperatures are at or below 85°F, using 2- or 3-contract entries. It exits all positions if the price drops below $0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, the unrealized loss hits $10, or within 30 minutes of expiry, with a total position cap of 25 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 45 seconds. It buys 'no' shares when Chicago weather data shows the current temperature and forecast high are well below 85°F, placing orders of 2 or 3 contracts depending on the price. It exits if the share price drops below $0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, the loss hits $10, or the contract is near expiry, with a maximum of 25 contracts held.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 30 minutes. It buys 'no' shares when Chicago Midway temperature and forecast are below thresholds and the price is above certain levels, in sizes of 2 or 3 contracts, up to a 25-contract cap. It exits all positions if the price drops under 30 cents, the temperature hits 85°F, total losses reach $10, or expiry is within 30 minutes.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 25 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades Kalshi's Chicago high temperature market every 30 seconds. It buys 'no' contracts when NWS data from KMDW shows current and forecast highs well below thresholds while price exceeds 0.4, adding more at stricter conditions. It exits all if price drops below 0.3, current temp reaches 85°F, loss hits $10, or expiry within 30 minutes. Position is capped at 25 contracts, trading only within $0.15–$0.85.
Net P&L +$5+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This Kalshi strategy trades KXHIGHCHI every 15 min. It buys 'no' contracts (size 2) when quote > 40¢ and Chicago temp/forecast high < 85°F, or size 3 if > 50¢ and temps < 83/84°F, using recent weather. Exits all on price < 30¢, temp ≥ 85°F, loss hit $10, or expiry ≤ 30 min. Max position 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi. Every 15 minutes, it uses Chicago Midway weather data to buy "no" contracts when the price is above 0.40 or 0.50 and temperatures are forecast to stay below 85°F or 84°F. It sells all positions if the price drops under 0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, losses hit $10, or within 30 minutes of expiry. Position size max is 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
It trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 60 seconds. It buys "no" contracts when the Chicago Midway forecast indicates the high will likely stay under 85°F—entering with 2 contracts if the price is above 40 cents and conditions are moderate, then adding 3 more if the price is higher and conditions are even cooler. The position is limited to 20 contracts total, and it will sell all contracts if the price drops below 30 cents, the actual temperature hits 85°F, the loss reaches $10, or the contract is within 30 minutes of expiring.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, evaluating every 30 seconds. It buys No shares when Chicago’s current and forecast high temperatures are below thresholds and the contract price is above 0.40 (2 contracts) or 0.50 (3 contracts). It fully exits if the price drops under 0.30, the actual temp hits 85°F, the unrealized loss reaches $10, or expiry falls within 30 minutes, and limits total position to 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
It trades the KXHIGHCHI market every 30 minutes, buying 'no' contracts when the price exceeds 40 or 50 cents and Chicago's current and forecast high temperatures stay under 85°F, using recent weather data. It exits fully if the price drops below 30 cents, the temperature reaches 85°F, the unrealized loss hits $10, or less than 30 minutes remain, with a 20-contract maximum position.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, evaluating every 60 seconds. It buys No contracts (size 2 or 3) when Chicago's current and forecast temperatures are below set ceilings and the contract price is above 0.40 or 0.50. It exits all positions if price drops below 0.30, temperature reaches 85°F, unrealized loss reaches $10, or expiry is within 30 minutes. Maximum position is 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades KXHIGHCHI on Kalshi, checking every 60 seconds. It buys 'no' shares when the contract price exceeds 0.40 or 0.50 and Chicago Midway's current temperature and forecast high are below 85°F or 84°F, adding 2 or 3 shares per signal, limited to 20 total. It sells everything if the price drops below 0.30, the temperature hits 85°F, an unrealized loss reaches -10 dollars, or fewer than 30 minutes remain until expiry.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 45 seconds. It buys 'no' shares when the contract price is above 40 or 50 cents and current Chicago Midway temperatures are cool relative to the forecast, with positions limited to 2 or 3 contracts each, and a total cap of 20. It sells all positions if the price drops to 30 cents, the temperature hits 85°F, a $10 loss is reached, or the market has less than 30 minutes until expiry.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
Trades KXHIGHCHI on Kalshi every 30s using Chicago Midway weather. Enters no when price over 0.40 or 0.50 and temp suggests miss of high threshold, sizes 2-3 contracts. Exits on price below 0.30, temp ≥85°F, loss ≥$10, or 30min before expiry. Max position 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking every 45 seconds. It buys 'no' shares when the market price is above 40 or 50 cents and Chicago’s current and forecast temperatures are below certain thresholds, adding 2 or 3 contracts per entry, up to a total of 20. It exits all positions if the price falls below 30 cents, the current temperature reaches 85°F, losses hit $10, or the event is within 30 minutes of expiry.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, evaluating conditions every 60 seconds. It buys “no” contracts when the Chicago temperature data shows current and forecast highs below 85°F (or 84°F) and the price is above 0.4 or 0.5, with position sizes of 2 or 3 up to a 20-contract cap. It exits all if the price drops below 0.3, the temperature hits 85°F, unrealized loss reaches $10, or fewer than 30 minutes remain.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades KXHIGHCHI, checking every 45 seconds. It buys 'no' shares when Chicago temperature is below forecast high cap and price is above 0.40, with larger bets for lower temps. It exits if price falls below 0.30, temp reaches 85°F, loss hits $10, or under 30 minutes left. Max 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.8
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi every 45 seconds, buying “no” shares in sizes of 2 or 3 when the Chicago Midway current and forecast high temperatures stay below thresholds (like 85°F) and the market price is above 0.4. It exits all positions if the market price falls under 0.3, temperature reaches 85°F, unrealized loss hits $10, or less than 30 minutes remain; total position is capped at 20 contracts.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This Kalshi strategy trades KXHIGHCHI every 30s, buying 'no' shares when Chicago's forecast high stays at or below 85°F and the contract price is above 40¢ (above 50¢ for a larger entry). It exits all positions if the price falls below 30¢, the actual temperature reaches 85°F, the unrealized loss hits -$10, or fewer than 30 minutes remain until expiry. Position size is capped at 20 contracts, and trading only occurs when the price is between 15¢ and 85¢.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 20 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, checking conditions every 15 minutes. It buys No contracts when the price is above 0.40 or 0.50 and Chicago Midway temperature and forecast data show cool readings with a recent observation, using sizes of 2 or 3 contracts per signal. It exits all positions if the price drops below 0.30, the current temperature hits 85°F, a loss of $10 occurs, or there are less than 30 minutes until expiry.
Net P&L +$4+21.1% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, evaluating every minute. It buys No shares when price exceeds 0.4 or 0.5 and Chicago temperature data shows cool conditions, in sizes of 2 or 3 contracts, overall capped at 15. It exits fully if price drops below 0.3, temperature hits 85°F, a $10 loss accrues, or expiry is less than 30 minutes away.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades the Chicago high temperature market, checking every 60 seconds. It buys NO when current and forecasted high temperatures are well below 85°F and the
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades a Kalshi market on Chicago’s daily high temperature. It evaluates every 15 minutes using live weather data from Chicago Midway. It buys ‘no’ shares when the current temperature and forecast high are below thresholds and the price is above a cutoff, with position size capped at 15 contracts. It exits all positions if the price drops below 0.30, the temperature hits 85°F, a $10 loss is reached, or with 30 minutes left until expiry.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market every 15 seconds. It enters a "no" position if the market price is above 0.40 or 0.50 and Chicago Midway's current temperature and forecast high are well below 85°F, with fresh data. It exits when the price drops below 0.30, the temperature reaches 85°F, losses hit $10, or expiry is within 30 minutes. Position is capped at 15 contracts.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
This strategy trades KXHIGHCHI on Kalshi. Every 15 minutes, it checks Chicago Midway Airport temperature. It buys no contracts when current temperature and forecast high are below thresholds, with a recent observation. It exits if price drops below 0.30, temperature hits 85°F, losses reach $10, or near expiry. Total contracts held never exceed 15.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.9
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market on Kalshi, evaluating every 60 seconds using Chicago Midway temperature data. It buys "no" contracts when the current and forecast temperatures are below 85°F and the price is above 0.40 or 0.50, adding 2 or 3 contracts. It exits all positions if price falls below 0.30, current temperature reaches 85°F, unrealized loss hits $10, or the market has under 30 minutes left. Max total position is 15 contracts.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This Kalshi strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market every 30 seconds. It buys no contracts when Chicago Midway weather shows a temperature below 85°F and a forecast high ≤85°F, in sizes of 2 or 3 depending on stricter thresholds. It sells all if price drops below 30 cents, temperature hits 85°F, loss reaches $10, or expiry in 30 minutes. Max position 15, price bounds 15–85 cents.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI event market on Kalshi, checking every 15 minutes. It buys 'no' shares in sizes of 2 or 3 when the price is above $0.40 or $0.50 and Chicago’s current and forecast high temperatures stay below 85°F or 84°F with recent weather data, up to a total position of 15 contracts. It exits all positions if the price falls under $0.30, the temperature hits 85°F, an unrealized loss reaches $10, or the market is within 30 minutes of expiration.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.85
V2
This strategy trades KXHIGHCHI on Kalshi every 45 seconds. It buys 'no' if Chicago's current and forecast highs are ≤85°F and price >0.40, adding more at tighter thresholds. Exits occur when price drops below 0.30, temperature reaches 85, loss hits $10, or 30 minutes before expiry. Position size per entry is 2 or 3, maximum 15 total.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.75
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHCHI market, checking every 30 seconds. It buys no contracts when the price is high and Chicago Midway temperature data suggests the daily high will stay at or below certain thresholds, taking 2- or 3-contract positions. It sells all holdings if the price dips below $0.30, the temperature hits 85°F, losses reach $10, or expiry is within 30 minutes; total position never exceeds 15 contracts, and trades only occur between $0.15 and $0.75.
Net P&L +$3+21.2% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 100.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.