Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Same strategy idea, different parameter settings. Compare net P&L, Sharpe, win rate, date, range, venue, and stars before opening a specific backtest.
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10 variants
Range
45s loop · max 5 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market, checking every 45 seconds. It buys "yes" contracts when Miami’s temperature near the forecast high, rising three-hour trend, and high humidity and dew point persist, with recent data and sufficient time until expiry, using smaller positions for weaker signals and larger ones for stronger signals. It exits entirely if unrealized profit hits $4, loss reaches -$6, the weather observation grows older than two hours, or settlement is within 30 minutes, never holding more than 5 contracts in total.
Net P&L -$2-34.8% return
Sharpe -0.51
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 5 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the Miami high temperature contract KXHIGHMIA every 15 minutes. It buys "yes" when recent local weather shows heat persisting near the forecast high with humidity and dew point, price below $0.60 or $0.70, and at least 2 hours to expiry. It sells all on a $4 profit, -$6 loss, stale data, or 30 minutes to expiry; maximum position is 5 contracts, and trades are restricted to prices between $0.15 and $0.70.
Net P&L -$2-34.8% return
Sharpe -0.51
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 5 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This Kalshi strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market every minute using Miami weather. It buys yes contracts when conditions suggest heat persistence and prices are low, adding more under stronger signals, with sizes 2 or 3 and a total cap of 5 contracts. It exits all positions if profit reaches $4, loss hits $6, weather data becomes stale, or expiry nears.
Net P&L -$2-34.8% return
Sharpe -0.51
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 5 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market on Kalshi. Every 30 seconds, it checks Miami temperature, humidity, dew point, and forecasts, and buys YES contracts if heat persistence is likely and the price is low, adding up to 5 contracts. It exits all positions when a $4 profit or $6 loss is reached, weather data grows older than 2 hours, or only 30 minutes remain until expiry.
Net P&L -$2-34.8% return
Sharpe -0.51
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 10 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the Kalshi market KXHIGHMIA every 15 minutes. It buys Yes contracts when Miami weather conditions (temperature near forecast high, rising, humid, high dew point, recent observations) suggest heat persistence, with smaller entry at price ≤0.60 and larger entry at ≤0.70, provided expiry is at least 2 hours away. Positions are sold entirely when profit reaches $4, loss reaches -$6, observations become stale (over 2 hours old), or time to expiry falls to 30 minutes or less.
Net P&L -$3-30.6% return
Sharpe -0.50
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 10 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades Kalshi’s KXHIGHMIA market, checking every 30 seconds. It buys “yes” contracts when recent Miami weather data shows persistent heat and humidity, provided the price is low enough and expiry is over 2 hours away, with order sizes of 2 or 3 contracts and an overall cap of 10. It exits fully if profit reaches $4, loss hits –$6, weather data grows older than 2 hours, or the market has under 30 minutes left.
Net P&L -$3-30.6% return
Sharpe -0.50
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
45s loop · max 10 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market on Kalshi, checking Miami weather data every 45 seconds. It buys yes contracts when temperature stays near the forecast high, humidity remains elevated, and the observation is fresh, placing up to 2 or 3 contracts per signal. Positions are closed if profit reaches $4, losses hit -$6, weather data exceeds 2 hours old, or the market expires within 30 minutes.
Net P&L -$3-30.6% return
Sharpe -0.50
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 10 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market, checking every 60 seconds. It buys up to 5 'yes' contracts when Miami weather data (humidity, dew point, temperature) suggests heat persistence, price is 15-70 cents, and expiry over 2 hours. It sells all on $4 profit, $6 loss, stale observations, or <30 minutes to expiry, never holding more than 10 contracts.
Net P&L -$3-30.6% return
Sharpe -0.50
Win 0.0%small sample
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
30s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
This strategy trades KXHIGHMIA on Kalshi, evaluating every 30 minutes. It buys 'yes' when Miami weather shows temperature persisting near the forecast high, high humidity and dew point, fresh data, price below limits, and enough time left. Entry size is 2 or 3 contracts. Exits trigger at $4 profit, -$6 loss, stale data over 2 hours, or less than 30 minutes to expiry. Max position is 15 contracts.
Net P&L -$4-28.4% return
Sharpe -0.48
Win 0.0%
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
15s loop · max 15 · floor 0.15 · ceil 0.7
V2
The strategy trades the KXHIGHMIA market on Kalshi, evaluating every 15 seconds. It buys 'yes' contracts when Miami weather conditions indicate sustained high temperatures, with two entry rules triggering sizes of 2 or 3 contracts, while a global limit caps total position at 15 contracts. Exits occur if profit reaches $4, loss exceeds $6, observation data goes stale, or time to expiry falls below 30 minutes.
Net P&L -$4-28.4% return
Sharpe -0.48
Win 0.0%
Jun 26
15d May 27 to Jun 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.