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BTC Daily Passive Liquidity Maker

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

It monitors the Kalshi Bitcoin daily market every minute. While flat, if the spread is wide enough, there's more than a minute to expiry, and the price is between 5 and 95 cents, it posts limit bids for 25 yes and 25 no contracts at the best bid. It sells everything if its loss reaches $25, and cancels orders when conditions sour. Position limit is 50 contracts.

Kalshi·May 14 to Jun 11·Created 1mo ago
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Describe an idea, review the backtest, and start from the same workspace.

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Net P&L
+$31
Return +61.9% on risk capital
Sharpe
0.14
Return Sharpe
Win rate
50.0%
28 trades
Max drawdown
-$24
Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology
Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital
Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance
Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice
Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.