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BTC Entry Signals

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXBTC15M market, checking conditions every 10 seconds. Rule 1 sells everything when 10 seconds or less remain before settlement. Rules 2 and 3 buy 30 contracts of either YES or NO, but only when the price sits between 0.2 and 0.8, the spread is at most 0.015, and Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana all show matching short- and longer-term price moves above or below zero. The position limit is 60 contracts.

Kalshi·Aug 12 to Sep 11·Created 6d ago

Net P&L

+$333

Return +554.2% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.31

Return Sharpe

Win rate

65.0%

236 trades

Max drawdown

-$130

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.