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BTC Entry Signals

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXBTC15M bitcoin market, checking conditions every 10 seconds against Coinbase BTC-USD price data. It exits by selling everything when 10 seconds or less remain before expiry, and otherwise buys 30 contracts of YES when the price sits between 0.2 and 0.8, the spread is 0.015 or less, and BTC has risen over 5 minutes with positive 1-minute velocity, or buys 30 NO contracts under the same price and spread conditions with the opposite falling signals. Position size is capped at 60 contracts.

Kalshi·Aug 12 to Sep 11·Created 6d ago

Net P&L

+$1,894

Return +3157.3% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.79

Return Sharpe

Win rate

63.3%

1284 trades

Max drawdown

-$257

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.