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BTC Entry Signals

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi BTC 15-minute markets and re-checks every 10 seconds, with a 60-contract position limit. It enters when flat and expiry is within 5 minutes: it buys 30 YES contracts if Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana all rose over the last 5 minutes and Bitcoin is above its 1-hour VWAP and 12-period EMA, or buys 30 NO contracts under the opposite conditions, provided price is between 0.35 and 0.65 and the spread is 0.015 or less. It sells everything if holding 21+ contracts with unrealized profit above 8, or a loss below -15.

Kalshi·Aug 12 to Sep 11·Created 7d ago

Net P&L

+$700

Return +1166.7% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.89

Return Sharpe

Win rate

72.6%

194 trades

Max drawdown

-$45

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.