BTC One-Hour Rebound Four-Hour Conflict

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXBTC15M market, selecting the most liquid contract, and re-evaluates every 30 seconds, with BTC price-change data refreshed on the same 30-second interval. Rules are checked top to bottom and the first match fires, ending that tick. Rule 1 sells all held positions when unrealized P&L is at or below -25. Rule 2 buys 10 YES contracts only when the position size and order count are both zero, fewer than 3 portfolio positions are open, time to expiry is between 2 and 5 minutes, the YES best ask is between 0.35 and 0.8, the spread is 0.03 or less, the 5-minute BTC change is at least 0.0005, the 1-hour change at least 0.001, and the 4-hour change at most -0.002. Rule 3 mirrors this for 10 NO contracts, requiring the NO best ask between 0.35 and 0.8 with the same expiry, spread, and position gates, but with the 5-minute change at most -0.0005, the 1-hour change at most -0.001, and the 4-hour change at least 0.002. Position size is capped at 50 contracts, with a 0.23 to 0.73 YES price band, one entry per market, a $50 per-market notional cap whose spent budget is not released by later sells, and a $25 max-loss limit.