BTC velocity settle

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It trades Kalshi's KXBTC15M market and evaluates every 10 seconds. It buys a 100-contract yes position when one-minute Bitcoin velocity exceeds 0.5 and the yes bid is between 0.50 and 0.90 with more than one minute left, or buys a 100-contract no position when velocity is below -0.5 and the no bid is between 0.50 and 0.90 with more than one minute left. It enters once per market and cancels open orders if expiry is one minute or less; otherwise it holds to settlement.

Kalshi·Aug 14 to Aug 14 UTC·Created 1mo ago

Net P&L

Return 0.0% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.00

Return Sharpe

Win rate

0.0%

0 trades

Max drawdown

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.