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30s KXBTC15M Vol>10k <0.45 BuyYes200 Max100 Exit>0.7

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

The strategy operates on the KXBTC15M market. It checks every 30 seconds and enters by buying 50 YES shares when trading volume is above 5,000 and the price is under 45 cents, with a maximum total position of 100 shares. It exits by selling all shares if the price climbs above 65 cents.

Kalshi·Mar 27 to Apr 19·Created 3mo ago

Net P&L

-$4,721

Return -4721.2% on risk capital

Sharpe

-0.64

Return Sharpe

Win rate

45.7%

5298 trades

Max drawdown

-$5,002

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.