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VWAP Aligned Momentum Rider

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's KXBTC15M bitcoin markets and checks conditions every 10 seconds using Coinbase BTC price data. It exits any open position by selling everything when unrealized profit or loss crosses tiered thresholds that scale with position size, and it enters by buying 50 contracts of YES or NO when BTC momentum, trend, price level, and spread conditions line up, including separate rules for early, late, and accelerated moves. Position size is capped at 200 contracts, with prices restricted between 0.01 and 0.99.

Kalshi·Aug 17 to Sep 15·Created 2d ago

Net P&L

+$13,584

Return +6791.8% on risk capital

Sharpe

1.21

Return Sharpe

Win rate

79.3%

10771 trades

Max drawdown

-$756

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.