KXDOGE15M 15/85 Entry, Exit Not at 0.50

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the KXDOGE15M market on Kalshi, evaluating every ten seconds. It buys No contracts when the price is below 0.15 and the total position is less than 10, adding 5 contracts each time; it buys Yes when price is above 0.85 and position is under 10. It sells all contracts whenever the price is not exactly 0.50, and the total position is capped at 10 contracts.

Kalshi·May 14 to Jun 11·Created 18d ago

Net P&L

-$202

Return -2020.6% on risk capital

Sharpe

-0.98

Return Sharpe

Win rate

27.3%

923 trades

Max drawdown

-$203

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.

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