ETH Kalshi 15-Minute Momentum

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the Kalshi Ethereum 15-minute market. Every minute it checks Coinbase Ethereum data and enters a small "yes" position (size 1) when the price exceeds its one-hour average, the 15-minute change is above 0.1%, and the market price is below 75 cents; it exits all positions if the price drops below the average or the market price exceeds 85 cents. It limits total exposure to 10 contracts and only trades between 15 and 85 cents.

Kalshi·Jun 7 to Jun 11·Created 24d ago

Net P&L

+$62

Return +621.5% on risk capital

Sharpe

1.29

Return Sharpe

Win rate

43.4%

445 trades

Max drawdown

-$6

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.

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