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KXETH15M EMA12/SMA20 Cross 85c/15c Entry $5 TP $8 SL 2m Exit

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the KXETH15M market every 10 seconds, buying YES (size 5) when a fast ETH moving average rises above a slow one and price is under 85¢, or buying NO when the opposite cross happens above 15¢. It exits all positions if unrealized profit exceeds $5, loss exceeds $8, or less than 2 minutes remain. Total contracts are capped at 15, with orders only placed between 5¢ and 95¢.

Kalshi·Mar 29 to Apr 21·Created 3mo ago

Net P&L

-$964

Return -6423.8% on risk capital

Sharpe

-0.70

Return Sharpe

Win rate

34.3%

12184 trades

Max drawdown

-$1,047

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.