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Banded Bookend Momentum Entries

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

On Kalshi's ETH 15-minute market, this strategy checks every 10 seconds. It buys YES or NO in small sizes (1 to 5 contracts) when the price sits in a set band, the spread is tight, and ETH's recent 5-minute change and 1-minute velocity point the same direction. It exits when the position is near expiry, hits a profit or loss threshold, or the trend reverses; total position is capped at 30 contracts.

Kalshi·Aug 18 to Sep 17·Created 20h ago

Net P&L

+$1,905

Return +6348.5% on risk capital

Sharpe

1.25

Return Sharpe

Win rate

64.8%

11330 trades

Max drawdown

-$79

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.