ETH Entry Band

Starter is $49/month with 30 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades 15-minute Kalshi ETH markets every 10 seconds, capped at 60 contracts with prices between 0.01 and 0.99. Rules are checked top to bottom, first match wins. If 10 seconds or less remain to expiry, it sells everything. If it holds YES contracts and the YES best bid is at or below 0.25, it sells the YES position; if it holds NO contracts and the NO best bid is at or below 0.25, it sells the NO position. If unrealized loss is worse than -7 dollars, it sells everything. Otherwise, with no position and 12 minutes or less to expiry, it buys 50 YES when ETH, BTC, and SOL 5-minute changes are each above 0.001, ETH price is above its 1-hour VWAP and 1-minute EMA-12, its 1-minute MACD histogram is positive, price is between 0.38 and 0.62, and spread is at most 0.015. It buys 50 NO under the mirror conditions. Entries only occur 09:00-17:00 Pacific, Monday through Friday.

Kalshi·Sep 14 to Oct 14 UTC·Created 13d ago

Net P&L

+$525

Return +875.8% on Risk Capital

Sharpe

0.68

Return Sharpe

Win rate

59.4%

128 trades

Max drawdown

-$54

Peak to Trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting Capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past Performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not Financial Advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.