← Strategies

ETH Tight Band

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

The strategy trades the Kalshi KXETH15M market and checks every 10 seconds. With under 5 minutes left, if the price is between 0.45 and 0.55 and ETH 5-minute change, ETH 1-minute velocity, and BTC 1-minute velocity are all positive it buys yes; if all negative it buys no, each order size 10, capped at 30 contracts total. It sells everything if fewer than 5 seconds remain or unrealized loss is -4.5 or worse.

Kalshi·Jul 26 to Aug 17·Created 2d ago

Net P&L

+$143

Return +477.9% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.60

Return Sharpe

Win rate

66.7%

105 trades

Max drawdown

-$22

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.