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KXBTC 30s Mean Reversion 0.15/0.85 Entry, 0.50 Exit, 60s Cooldown, 10 ct

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the KXBTC binary market on Kalshi, checking prices every 30 seconds. It buys if the price falls below $0.15 and sells short if it rises above $0.85, then exits each position when the price returns to $0.50. After a trade, it waits 60 seconds before taking another; no more than 20 contracts are held at once, trades only occur when the price is between $0.05 and $0.95, and a total loss of $25 halts all trading.

Kalshi·Mar 30 to Apr 29·Created 4mo ago

Net P&L

-$548

Return -2740.9% on risk capital

Sharpe

-1.09

Return Sharpe

Win rate

10.3%

1012 trades

Max drawdown

-$560

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.