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BTC 15M 10s 15/85 Entry 50c Exit Max10 $100 Loss

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the KXBTC15M market on Kalshi. Every 10 seconds, it checks the price; if it is 0.15 or below, it opens a position expecting a rise to the 0.50 exit target, and if it is 0.85 or above, it opens a position expecting a fall to 0.50. Once the price reaches 0.50 the position closes. It limits holdings to 20 contracts, and after exiting must wait 60 seconds before re-entering.

Kalshi·Mar 27 to Apr 26·Created 4mo ago

Net P&L

-$499

Return -2497.4% on risk capital

Sharpe

-0.75

Return Sharpe

Win rate

11.7%

4924 trades

Max drawdown

-$535

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.