KXBTC15M 10s Multi-Signal Entry (VWAP/EMA/5mΔ/Vel/Time) Tiered Exit

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades the Kalshi KXBTC15M market every 10 seconds, using Coinbase BTC-USD price data refreshed every 5 seconds. It enters buy_yes or buy_no positions of 250 contracts when Bitcoin price conditions versus VWAP, EMA, momentum, and spread meet certain thresholds within defined price ranges, including accelerated momentum and near-expiry rules. Exits are triggered solely by tiered unrealized profit and loss levels relative to current position size, while total position is capped at 500 contracts.

Kalshi·May 14 to Jun 11·Created 3d ago

Net P&L

+$164,354

Return +32870.7% on risk capital

Sharpe

2.21

Return Sharpe

Win rate

69.8%

4153 trades

Max drawdown

-$843

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.

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