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Position-Graded Profit Ratchet

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute Bitcoin market, checking conditions every 10 seconds against Coinbase BTC price, moving averages, and momentum. It buys 56 contracts of YES or NO when price sits in specific ranges and Bitcoin trends align, and sells everything when unrealized profit or loss hits thresholds tied to position size. Position size is capped at 140 contracts, with entries blocked above 70.

Kalshi·Aug 8 to Sep 6·Created 11d ago

Net P&L

+$6,000

Return +4285.8% on risk capital

Sharpe

1.24

Return Sharpe

Win rate

60.6%

2007 trades

Max drawdown

-$439

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.