Position-Graded Profit Ratchet

Starter is $29/month with 30 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

On Kalshi's 15-minute bitcoin market, this strategy checks conditions every 10 seconds, capped at 30 contracts. Rules run in order: it skips when full at 30, sells everything at tiered profit or loss thresholds based on position size, and otherwise buys 10 contracts of YES or NO when bitcoin price, trend, momentum, and market price/spread conditions line up, including near-expiry setups.

Kalshi·Jul 26 to Aug 22 UTC·Created 2mo ago

Net P&L

+$520

Return +1734.4% on Risk Capital

Sharpe

0.73

Return Sharpe

Win rate

62.3%

1240 trades

Max drawdown

-$71

Peak to Trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting Capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past Performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not Financial Advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.