KXBTC15M 10s Triple-MA Four-Way Entry Tiered PnL

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

The strategy trades a Kalshi Bitcoin 15-minute binary market, evaluating every 10 seconds. It enters with 250-contract buy yes or no orders when BTC price crosses VWAP and EMA, shows momentum, and the market price is in the mid-range with tight spreads, or near expiry under certain price conditions. It exits all positions when unrealized profit or loss hits thresholds that depend on current position size, and it caps total position at 500 contracts.

Kalshi·May 14 to Jun 11·Created 4d ago

Net P&L

+$157,031

Return +31406.2% on risk capital

Sharpe

2.11

Return Sharpe

Win rate

67.5%

4385 trades

Max drawdown

-$696

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.

← Strategies