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Stack Momentum Graded Unwind

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This trades Kalshi's 15-minute ETH markets, checking every 10 seconds against Coinbase ETH price, moving averages, momentum, and velocity. It enters with 25-contract buys of YES or NO when several price-trend and spread conditions line up, including faster momentum, near-expiry setups, and optional high/low ETH thresholds. It exits fully at a price of 0.98 or more, or via tiered profit and loss triggers based on position size, and it skips any tick once the position exceeds 50.

Kalshi·Aug 16 to Sep 15·Created 3d ago

Net P&L

+$3,438

Return +6876.6% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.74

Return Sharpe

Win rate

75.1%

5755 trades

Max drawdown

-$345

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.