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Spot-Driven Tiered Exits

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute ETH markets, checking every 10 seconds against live Coinbase ETH data, and allows at most 30 contracts. It buys 15 contracts of YES or NO when ETH price, momentum, and short-term trend line up and the spread is tight, while cancelling all orders if price exceeds 0.92. It sells everything on tiered profit targets (above 5, 8, or 15 depending on position size) or tiered losses (below 12, 20, or 40 depending on position size).

Kalshi·Aug 22 to Sep 21 UTC·Created 3d ago

Net P&L

+$1,922

Return +6407.8% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.51

Return Sharpe

Win rate

62.4%

6080 trades

Max drawdown

-$309

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.