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Stack Momentum Graded Unwind

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute ETH market, checking every 10 seconds with a 50-contract cap and allowed prices from 0.01 to 0.99. It buys 20 contracts of YES or NO when Coinbase ETH price, momentum, and short-term trend align with the market price and a tight spread, with a final set of entries only in the last five minutes before expiry. It exits by selling everything when the price hits 0.98, when unrealized profit reaches tiered thresholds of 5, 8, or 15 depending on position size, or when losses reach tiered thresholds of 12, 20, or 40 also based on position size.

Kalshi·Aug 16 to Sep 15·Created 2d ago

Net P&L

+$3,326

Return +6651.1% on risk capital

Sharpe

0.86

Return Sharpe

Win rate

74.2%

5914 trades

Max drawdown

-$261

Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology: Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital: Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance: Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice: Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.