← Strategies
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On Kalshi's KXBTC15M market, evaluated every 30 seconds with a 400-contract cap and YES prices between 0.01 and 0.99, rules fire top-to-bottom, first match only. Rule 1 skips when position_size >= 400. Rule 2 sells all when holding any position with time to expiry <= 45s and price 0.25-0.75. Rules 3-5 sell all at unrealized profit above 20 (positions <= 100), 50 (101-300), or 110 (301+), each with price 0.10-0.99. Rules 6-8 sell all at losses below -25 (<=100), -55 (101-300), or -85 (301+). Rules 9-12 buy 200 at >5m to expiry: YES when BTC price is above both vwap_1h and ema_12_1m with change_5m > 0.001, velocity > 0, price 0.35-0.65, spread <= 0.03; NO on the mirror with change < -0.001; momentum YES on change > 0.0015, price 0.20-0.80; NO on change < -0.0015. Rules 13-14 buy 200 at <= 5m, price 0.40-0.60, spread <= 0.02, aligned price/velocity/vwap and ema vs sma_20_1m. Rule 15 buys YES 200 at <= 5m, price >= 0.88, spread <= 0.03, BTC price >= high_15m, velocity > 0; Rule 16 buys NO at price <= 0.12, BTC <= low_15m, velocity < 0.