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Quad-Horizon Spot Alignment

Starter is $19/month with 10 deploys per week. Upgrade as you grow.

This strategy trades 15-minute XRP markets on Kalshi, checking every 10 seconds. It buys 50 contracts of YES when XRP is rising across four timeframes and the YES price sits between 0.84 and 0.97 with a tight spread, or of NO when XRP is falling across those timeframes; later rules buy either side when the odds reach 0.91 to 0.99 within 35 seconds of expiry. It exits by selling on a price drop to 0.75 or below, a loss of 25 dollars, a price of 0.99 or better with over 30 seconds left, or by cancelling everything at expiry, with positions capped at 50 contracts.

Kalshi·Aug 24 to Sep 21 UTC·Created 2d ago
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Net P&L
+$211
Return +421.7% on risk capital
Sharpe
1.12
Return Sharpe
Win rate
96.1%
154 trades
Max drawdown
-$9
Peak to trough

A few notes on these numbers

Methodology
Backtests replay supported historical market data, usually a 30-day Studio window, and evaluate strategy rules on the available cadence. Signals can fill no earlier than the next tradable step. Taker fills use top-of-book prices or available L2 depth, with Kalshi-style fees where modeled. Queue position, latency, and future liquidity are not fully modeled. Simulated P&L is net of modeled fees over the window.
Starting capital
Kalshi backtests use the strategy's configured max position as the risk-capital denominator. Return is computed from that configured capital, while total P&L is still shown in dollars.
Past performance
Backtested results are hypothetical. They are derived from historical data and do not reflect live execution risks like slippage beyond the orderbook, partial fills, API latency, or venue outages. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Not financial advice
Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice. Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Only trade with money you can afford to lose, and do your own research before deploying any strategy live.