Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Range
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.08 · ceil 0.94
This strategy trades Kalshi high-temperature markets for Los Angeles, checking conditions every 60 seconds with a 100-contract position limit. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, the price sits between 0.25 and 0.60, and it holds no position; it sells everything if the prior hour's temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss drops below 3.
Net P&L +$10+9.6% return
Sharpe 0.07
Win 45.8%
Aug 20
25d Jul 26 to Aug 20
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.08 · ceil 0.94
On Kalshi's LA high-temperature market it checks conditions every 60 seconds. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, that reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.25 and 0.50, and it holds nothing. It exits by selling everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss passes 3, with positions capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$8+8.0% return
Sharpe 0.06
Win 35.0%
Aug 20
25d Jul 26 to Aug 20
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.08 · ceil 0.94
This strategy trades Kalshi's Los Angeles high-temperature market, checking every 60 seconds. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71 degrees, the reading is under 15 minutes old, and the price sits between 0.35 and 0.50, but only if it holds no position. It exits by selling everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss passes 3 dollars, with positions capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$7+7.1% return
Sharpe 0.05
Win 41.2%
Aug 20
25d Jul 26 to Aug 20
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.08 · ceil 0.94
This Kalshi strategy trades the KXHIGHLAX series, checking every 60 seconds with a 100-contract limit and allowed prices from 0.08 to 0.94. It buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, the observation is under 900 seconds old, price sits between 0.25 and 0.5, and no position exists. It exits fully if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain to expiry, or if unrealized loss drops below -2.
Net P&L +$7+6.9% return
Sharpe 0.07
Win 33.3%
Aug 20
25d Jul 26 to Aug 20
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 50 · floor 0.08 · ceil 0.94
On Kalshi's Los Angeles high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys 5 YES contracts when the current LA temperature is above 71, that reading is under 15 minutes old, and the price sits between 0.25 and 0.50 with no existing position. It sells everything if the prior hour's temperature exceeds 72 while price is above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain before expiry, or if unrealized loss drops below 3. Position size is capped at 50 contracts, with allowed prices from 0.08 to 0.94.
Net P&L +$1+1.6% return
Sharpe -0.02
Win 35.0%
Aug 20
25d Jul 26 to Aug 20
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.