Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Range
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi's KXRAIN series, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys one NO contract when the YES bid is at least 0.01, the YES ask is at most 0.99, the NO bid is at least 0.01, the NO ask is between 0.01 and 0.80, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is over 60 minutes but within 24 hours. It sells everything if unrealized loss exceeds 25. Position size is capped at 1 contract and $1 per market, with one entry per market.
Net P&L +$4+396.0% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 60.8%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi's KXRAIN markets, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys one no contract when both sides are priced between 0.01 and 0.99, the no ask is at or below 0.70, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is more than 60 minutes but no more than 24 hours away. It sells all holdings if unrealized loss drops below 25. Position size is capped at one contract, one entry per market, and one dollar of spend.
Net P&L +$3+325.0% return
Sharpe 0.13
Win 54.4%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi rain markets (series KXRAIN), this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys 1 NO contract when the YES bid and ask and NO bid and ask all sit between 0.01 and 0.99, the NO ask is at or below 0.50, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is over 60 minutes but within 24 hours. It sells everything if unrealized loss falls below 25. Size is capped at 1 contract and $1 total per market, with one entry allowed.
Net P&L +$2+169.0% return
Sharpe -0.13
Win 40.4%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi's KXRAIN markets it checks every 60 seconds and buys one no contract when both sides are quoted between 0.01 and 0.99, the no ask is at most 0.80, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is more than 60 minutes but no more than 36 hours away. It sells everything if unrealized loss drops below 25. Position size is capped at 1 contract, one entry per market, and $1 total spend per market.
Net P&L -$2-174.0% return
Sharpe -0.20
Win 60.7%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi's KXRAIN markets, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys one no contract when all quotes are within 1 to 99 cents, the no ask is at or below 80 cents, the spread is at most 5 cents, and expiry is between 60 minutes and 48 hours away. It sells everything if unrealized loss falls below -25. Entries are limited to 1 contract and $1 per market.
Net P&L -$2-177.0% return
Sharpe -0.25
Win 60.7%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi's KXRAIN series it checks every 60 seconds and buys one NO contract when the YES market is priced between 0.01 and 0.99, the NO ask is at or below 0.80, the spread is 0.05 or less, and expiry is more than 60 minutes but no more than 48 hours away. It exits by selling the whole position if unrealized loss drops below 25, and holds at most 1 contract with $1 total spend per market.
Net P&L -$2-177.0% return
Sharpe -0.25
Win 60.7%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi it scans KXRAIN markets every 60 seconds. Rule 1 buys one NO contract when both sides are priced within 0.01 to 0.99, the NO ask is at or below 0.90, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is over 60 minutes but within 48 hours. Rule 2 sells everything if unrealized loss drops below -25, with entries capped at one per market and $1 total.
Net P&L -$3-261.0% return
Sharpe -0.33
Win 68.0%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.01 · ceil 0.99
On Kalshi it checks KXRAIN markets every 60 seconds. It buys one NO contract when both sides are priced between 0.01 and 0.99, the NO ask is at or below 0.90, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is more than 60 minutes but no more than 36 hours away; it sells everything if unrealized loss drops below 25. Position size is capped at one contract and one entry per market, with at most $1 spent.
Net P&L -$3-312.0% return
Sharpe -0.29
Win 67.3%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.