Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Range
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi it trades all KXRAIN markets, checking every 60 seconds. It buys one NO contract when no position is held, the NO ask is 0.80 or less with valid quotes on both sides, the spread is 0.05 or tighter, and expiry is between 1 and 24 hours away; it sells everything once the NO bid reaches 0.97. Position size is capped at one contract and one entry per market.
Net P&L +$4+386.0% return
Sharpe 0.21
Win 62.5%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's KXRAIN markets, this strategy checks conditions every 60 seconds, holding at most 1 contract. Rule 1 sells the entire position once held contracts have a NO best bid of at least 0.90. Rule 2 buys 1 NO contract when holding nothing, the NO ask is above 0 and at most 0.80, both NO and YES bids exist, the YES ask is under 1, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is over 1 hour but within 24 hours; only one entry per market is allowed.
Net P&L +$3+306.0% return
Sharpe 0.09
Win 66.3%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's KXRAIN markets, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and holds at most 1 contract. It buys 1 NO contract when it has no position, the NO ask is at or below 0.80, both NO bid and ask are positive, the YES bid is above 0 and ask below 1, the spread is 0.05 or less, and expiry is more than 1 hour but within 24 hours; entries are capped at 1 per market. It sells everything once a position exists and the NO best bid reaches 0.90 or higher.
Net P&L +$3+306.0% return
Sharpe 0.09
Win 66.3%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's KXRAIN market it checks every 60 seconds and can hold at most 1 contract. Rule 1 sells the entire position once the NO best bid reaches 0.97 or higher. Rule 2, only when flat, buys 1 NO contract if the NO best ask is above 0 and at most 0.50, both sides have bids, the YES ask is below 1, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is more than 1 hour but at most 24 hours away.
Net P&L +$1+75.0% return
Sharpe -0.19
Win 39.2%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
This strategy trades Kalshi weather markets in the KXRAIN series, checking every 60 seconds with a one-contract position limit. It buys one NO contract when no position is held, the NO ask is between 0.05 and 0.50, both sides have live quotes, the spread is 0.05 or less, and expiry is more than an hour but within 24 hours. It sells everything once the NO bid reaches 0.70.
Net P&L -$1-60.0% return
Sharpe -0.51
Win 51.0%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 1 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's KXRAIN series, this strategy checks all markets every 60 seconds and holds at most 1 contract per market, with entries capped at 1 per market and prices restricted to 0.05 through 0.95. The first matching rule fires: it sells the entire position when holding contracts and the NO best bid is at least 0.60, otherwise it buys 1 NO contract when flat, the NO best ask is above 0 and at most 0.50, both sides have valid bids and asks, the spread is at most 0.05, and expiry is more than 1 hour but no more than 24 hours away.
Net P&L -$1-139.0% return
Sharpe -0.70
Win 58.5%
Aug 27
10d Aug 17 to Aug 27
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.