Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Range
10s loop · max 30 · floor 0.03 · ceil 0.97
On Kalshi's 15-minute XRP market, this strategy checks every 10 seconds and trades at most 30 contracts. It buys 30 YES contracts when the price is between 0.90 and 0.97, the spread is 0.03 or less, 30 to 210 seconds remain, and XRP has risen over the past 1 hour, 15 minutes, 5 minutes, and 1 minute; it buys 30 NO contracts in the mirror case where all four of those changes are negative. It exits any held position if the price or best bid crosses 0.65, if the price or best bid reaches 0.99 (0.01 for NO), if unrealized loss hits 15, or it cancels everything when time to expiry reaches zero.
Net P&L +$58+194.7% return
Sharpe 0.88
Win 100.0%
Sep 10
30d Aug 11 to Sep 10
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
10s loop · max 3 · floor 0.03 · ceil 0.97
This trades Kalshi XRP 15-minute markets, checking every 10 seconds. It buys 3 contracts of YES when the price is between 0.84 and 0.97 with a tight spread and XRP is rising across its 1-hour, 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute measures, or 3 contracts of NO on the mirrored falling conditions, only within 210 seconds of expiry. It exits on price, bid, or loss thresholds, or when the market expires.
Net P&L +$11+366.0% return
Sharpe 0.87
Win 95.8%
Sep 9
30d Aug 10 to Sep 9
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
10s loop · max 3 · floor 0.03 · ceil 0.97
On Kalshi's KXXRP15M market it checks every 10 seconds, entering only in the final 210 to 30 seconds before expiry when the spread is 0.03 or tighter and recent XRP price changes all point the same direction, buying 3 contracts of YES or NO. It exits on price or best-bid thresholds, a loss of 10 or more, or when the market expires, which cancels all orders, and never holds more than 3 contracts.
Net P&L +$5+179.0% return
Sharpe 0.87
Win 100.0%
Sep 10
29d Aug 11 to Sep 8
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
10s loop · max 3 · floor 0.03 · ceil 0.97
This strategy trades Kalshi's 15-minute XRP markets, checking every 10 seconds and holding at most 3 contracts. It enters only when 30 to 210 seconds remain, the spread is 0.03 or less, price sits between 0.90 and 0.97, and all four XRP trend readings point the same way, buying yes if they are positive and no if negative. It exits by selling yes if price falls to 0.75 or below, unrealized loss reaches 10, or price climbs to 0.99 or higher, with mirrored exits for no, and cancels everything at expiry.
Net P&L +$5+179.0% return
Sharpe 0.84
Win 100.0%
Sep 10
30d Aug 11 to Sep 9
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.