Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Compare every parameter variant, sorted by net p&l. Open a row for the full backtest detail.
Hypothetical results, not investment advice. All performance shown is from backtests on historical data and should be assumed to be overfit. Past performance, real or simulated, does not predict future results. Ojo Network Inc. is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer, futures commission merchant, introducing broker, or commodity trading advisor. Trading prediction markets carries substantial risk, including total loss of funds. See the full Terms of Service before deploying.
Range
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.68
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds. It cancels all orders if the temperature is 71F or below, data is over 15 minutes old, price is at or below 0.15 or at or above 0.5, spread under 0.02, or expiry within 45 minutes. Otherwise, with no position, it buys 40 YES contracts one cent above the best bid, capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.73
On Kalshi it checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds, capped at 100 contracts. It cancels everything if the temperature is at or below 71, data is stale, price is outside 0.15 to 0.5, spread is under 0.02, or expiry is within 45 minutes. Otherwise, with no position, it buys 40 YES at best bid plus 0.01.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 yes contracts at the best bid plus a cent only when the current temperature is above 71, the observation is under 15 minutes old, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, the spread is at least 0.02, expiry is over 45 minutes away, and it holds nothing. It cancels or sells out on a stale or cool observation, narrow spread, price outside that band, almost-expired market, a one-hour temperature above 72, or a loss under -3, capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.73
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts post-only just above the best bid when the observed temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain. It cancels or sells all on stale data, low or high prices, thin spread, near expiry, a quick price rise above 0.66, or a loss under -3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.55
On Kalshi it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 yes contracts when the Chicago temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and more than 45 minutes remain. It cancels if any of those fail, and sells when price tops 0.66 or time runs short.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.73
On Kalshi's KXHIGHCHI market it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts only when the Chicago temperature reads above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price sits between 0.16 and 0.49, and the spread is at least 0.02; otherwise it cancels all orders and exits any position.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.91
On Kalshi it checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds, capped at 100 contracts. It buys 40 YES at best bid plus one cent only while the temperature is above 71, data is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells all if those conditions fail, expiry nears, the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, or unrealized loss passes 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.86
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts at a penny above the best bid when the observed temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, and the spread is at least 0.02. It cancels instead if any of those fail, and sells everything if the position is open and price tops 0.66 with the next hour forecast above 72, expiry is within 45 minutes, or unrealized loss exceeds 3. Position limit is 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.91
Trades Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, checking every 60 seconds up to 100 contracts. It buys 40 YES at the best bid plus a cent when the observed temperature is above 71, data is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, and spread is at least 0.02. It exits by selling everything once the prior-hour temperature passes 72 with price above 0.66, within 45 minutes of expiry, or on a small unrealized loss.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.55
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts near the best bid when the observed temperature is above 71, data is fresh, price sits between 0.16 and 0.49, the spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain. It cancels or sells out if temperature, price, spread, timing, position, or loss conditions turn unfavorable.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.86
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this checks every 60 seconds. It cancels when already holding a position or an entry condition fails, and otherwise buys 40 YES contracts near the best bid when temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain. It sells all if the next-hour temp exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss passes 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.68
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts near the best bid only when the observed temperature exceeds 71, readings are fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells when those conditions fail.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.82
On Kalshi it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the Chicago temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, and the spread is at least 0.02. It cancels or sells out when that temperature drops, data goes stale, price leaves the range, expiry is within 45 minutes, or the position is down 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.59
On Kalshi, it checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds. It buys up to 40 YES contracts only when the reading is above 71, the data is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away; otherwise it cancels or sells out.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.86
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts near the best bid only when the observed temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and more than 45 minutes remain. Otherwise it cancels all orders. It sells everything if the next-hour temperature tops 72 with price above 0.66, if 45 minutes or less remain, or if unrealized loss exceeds 3, with a 100-contract cap.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.59
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds. If no position is open and the temperature is above 71, quotes are fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and more than 45 minutes remain, it buys 40 YES contracts. It cancels or sells on stale data, low temperature, thin spread, near expiry, price moves, or a small loss, capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.68
On Kalshi it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts on Chicago high-temperature markets only if the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels all orders if any of those fail, and sells everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 while price is above 0.66, if under 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss passes 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.77
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, the strategy checks conditions every 60 seconds and can hold up to 100 contracts. Rule 2 buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price sits between 0.15 and 0.50, the spread is at least 0.02, expiry is over 45 minutes away, and no position is held; otherwise Rule 1 cancels everything. Rules 3, 4, and 5 sell the whole position when the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, when under 45 minutes remain, or when unrealized loss drops below 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.55
On Kalshi, this strategy checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the hourly temperature is above 71, the price is between 0.15 and 0.50, the spread is at least 0.02, expiry exceeds 45 minutes, and no position is open. It cancels or sells if the temperature drops to 71 or below, data is stale, price leaves that range, expiry nears, or unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts only when the temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain. It cancels or sells on stale data, late timing, a price spike, or a loss past 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.64
Trades Kalshi Chicago high-temperature markets, checking every 60 seconds with a 100-contract limit. It buys 40 YES contracts post-only near the best bid when the temperature is above 71, data is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells on cold readings, stale data, price or spread moves, near expiry, or a small unrealized loss.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.82
On Kalshi it checks the KXHIGHCHI market every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts near the best bid only if the Chicago temperature is above 71, conditions are fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, the spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away; otherwise it cancels. It exits by selling everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72, expiry is under 45 minutes, or the position is down more than 3, with a 100-contract cap.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.59
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts only if the temperature is above 71, readings are fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, expiry is over 45 minutes away, and it holds nothing; otherwise it cancels or sells all. Positions cap at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.91
On Kalshi, it checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts when the temperature is above 71, quotes stay between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, more than 45 minutes remain, and no position is open. It cancels or sells when those conditions break, PnL drops below -3, or 45 minutes remain.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.82
Trades Kalshi Chicago high-temperature markets, checking every 60 seconds under a 100-contract cap. It buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent only when the reading is above 71, fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain. It cancels when those conditions fail, and sells all if the next-hour temperature tops 72 with price above 0.66, under 45 minutes remain, or unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi Chicago high-temperature markets, it checks every 60 seconds and cancels all orders if the temperature is 71F or below, data is over 15 minutes old, price is outside 0.15 to 0.5, spread is under 0.02, or expiry is within 45 minutes. Otherwise, with no open position, it buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus 0.01. It sells everything if the next-hour forecast tops 72F with price above 0.66, near expiry, or unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.14 · ceil 0.77
On Kalshi's Chicago temperature market it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts near the best bid only if the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.16 and 0.49, and the spread is at least 0.02, with no existing position. It exits by selling everything if the next-hour temperature tops 72 with price above 0.66, within 45 minutes of expiry, or on a small unrealized loss.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.77
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and can hold up to 100 contracts. It buys 40 YES at one cent above the best bid when the current temperature is above 71F, readings are under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells out on stale data, wide conditions, or a $3 unrealized loss.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.05 · ceil 0.64
On Kalshi it checks the Chicago high-temperature market every 60 seconds, capped at 100 contracts. It buys 40 YES at best bid plus one cent when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 900 seconds old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and more than 45 minutes remain. It exits by cancelling all orders if temperature drops to 71 or below, data goes stale, price or spread leaves range, or time runs short, and sells the position when the next-hour temperature tops 72 with price above 0.66, under 45 minutes remain, or unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.09 · ceil 0.64
On Kalshi it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts when the Chicago temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.16 and 0.49, spread is at least 0.02 and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells out on stale readings, price or spread moves, near expiry, a confirmed hotter next hour, or a small loss.
Net P&L +$51+50.9% return
Sharpe 0.31
Win 54.5%
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.68
On Kalshi, this strategy checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent only when the current temperature exceeds 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It exits on a temperature drop, price move, stale data, near expiry, or a loss, capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.73
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 Yes contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the current temperature exceeds 71, data is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.50, and spread is at least 0.02. It cancels or sells out on stale data, temperature drops, late expiry, or losses.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.91
Trades Kalshi Chicago high-temperature markets, checking every 60 seconds with a 100-contract cap. It buys 40 YES at best bid plus a cent only if the observed temperature is above 71, data is fresh, price is between 0.16 and 0.49, spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain; otherwise it cancels. It sells on a drop below a 3-dollar loss, near expiry, or a confirmed heat signal.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.55
On Kalshi it checks every 60 seconds and cancels all orders if Chicago's temperature is 71F or below, data is stale, spread is under 2 cents, price leaves 0.15 to 0.5, or expiry is within 45 minutes. Otherwise, with no position, it buys 40 YES contracts one cent above the best bid. It exits fully near expiry or on a small loss.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.77
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts post-only at the best bid plus one cent when the current temperature is above 71, the observation is under 900 seconds old, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away with no position open. It cancels all when any of those conditions breaks, and sells everything if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if expiry drops under 45 minutes, or if unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.95
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent only if the current temperature exceeds 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, and spread is at least 0.02. Otherwise it cancels orders or sells any position. Position limit is 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.82
On Kalshi, this strategy checks the Chicago high-temperature market every 60 seconds, monitoring temperature and observation age alongside price, spread, and time to expiry. Rule 1 cancels everything if conditions fail (temp at or below 71, stale data, price outside 0.15–0.5, thin spread, near expiry, or an existing position). Rule 2 otherwise buys 40 YES contracts at best bid plus 0.01, while Rules 3–5 sell all on confirmed heat, near expiry, or a small loss; positions cap at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.86
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES at one cent above the best bid when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, expiry is over 45 minutes away, and it holds nothing. It cancels or sells on temperature drops, stale data, thin spreads, late expiry, or a $3 unrealized loss.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.59
On Kalshi it checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds, capped at 100 contracts. It buys 40 YES only when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away; otherwise it cancels or sells out.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.18 · ceil 0.64
On Kalshi's KXHIGHCHI market it checks every 60 seconds: if the Chicago temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, expiry is over 45 minutes away and it holds nothing, it posts a buy of 40 YES contracts. It cancels or sells out on stale data, thin spreads, price or time limits, a higher next-hour temperature with price above 0.66, or a $3 unrealized loss, capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$48+47.5% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.59
On Kalshi, this strategy checks Chicago high-temperature markets every 60 seconds. It buys 40 yes contracts near the best bid when the current temperature exceeds 71, the reading is under 900 seconds old, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It exits by selling all when the hourly temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, when under 45 minutes remain, or when unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.95
This strategy trades Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, checking conditions every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts at one cent above the best bid only when the current temperature is above 71, the observation is under 15 minutes old, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, expiry is over 45 minutes away, and no position is held; all other conditions cancel orders or sell the position.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.91
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this strategy checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the observed temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price sits between 0.15 and 0.5, and spread is at least 0.02. Otherwise it cancels all orders, exiting if the prior-hour temperature exceeds 72 or time to expiry drops under 45 minutes. Position size is capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.82
Trades Chicago high-temperature markets on Kalshi, checking every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the reported temperature is above 71F and the price sits between 0.15 and 0.50 with adequate spread. It cancels or sells all when temperature drops, data is stale, time to expiry falls under 45 minutes, or unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.64
Trades Kalshi Chicago high-temperature markets, checked every 60 seconds with a 100-contract limit. It buys 40 YES at the best bid plus a cent only when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, the spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels or sells all on stale data, low or high prices, thin spreads, near expiry, or a small loss.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.68
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 YES contracts when the temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.50, and spread is at least 0.02. It exits by cancelling or selling all, capped at 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.77
On Kalshi's KXHIGHCHI market, this strategy checks conditions every 60 seconds, capped at 100 contracts total. Rule 1 cancels everything if Chicago's temperature is at or below 71F, data is 15+ minutes old, price sits at or below 0.15 or at or above 0.50, spread is under 0.02, expiry is within 45 minutes, or a position exists. Otherwise Rule 2 buys 40 YES contracts just above the best bid when temperature exceeds 71F, data is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.50, spread is at least 0.02, expiry is beyond 45 minutes, and no position is held.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.86
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds. It buys 40 yes contracts when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.16 and 0.49, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It sells all if the next-hour temperature is above 72 with price above 0.66, under 45 minutes remain, or unrealized loss is under -3. Position limit is 100 contracts.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.73
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, it checks every 60 seconds and buys 40 YES contracts at the best bid plus one cent when the current temperature is above 71, the reading is fresh, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and over 45 minutes remain. It cancels if any of those fail.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.
1m loop · max 100 · floor 0.23 · ceil 0.55
On Kalshi's Chicago high-temperature market, this checks every 60 seconds and buys yes for 40 contracts, up to 100, only when the observed temperature is above 71, data is under 15 minutes old, price is between 0.15 and 0.5, spread is at least 0.02, and expiry is over 45 minutes away. It cancels resting orders on stale data, extreme prices, thin spreads, near expiry, or when already holding a position, and sells all if the next-hour temperature exceeds 72 with price above 0.66, if less than 45 minutes remain, or if unrealized loss exceeds 3.
Net P&L +$47+47.3% return
Sharpe 0.29
Win 50.0%small sample
Aug 22
27d Jul 26 to Aug 22
Kalshi
I analyzed this as a hypothetical backtest, not a live track record. Return uses configured max-position risk capital, not account bankroll. Turbine is not a registered investment advisor or futures commission merchant and does not provide personalized advice. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.